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Result: Strasbourg 1-1 Rijeka
DirectWinPredict UEFA Conference League Strasbourg vs Rijeka
S

Strasbourg

Home Side
D W D W D
4W 4D 2L
VS
1-1
UEFA Conference League
R
Rijeka
Away Side
L L W W W
6W 1D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Strasbourg to win — Thursday, 19th March 2026
Best Odds 1.41
Confidence 55%
Implied Prob 70.9%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
1
Strasbourg
0
Draws
0
Rijeka
1
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Strasbourg won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Strasbourg
Metric
Rijeka
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.9
20%
Clean Sheet %
40%
4-4-2
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate Comparison
40%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
S0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 10.8%
0-2 6.7%
0-3 2.8%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.2%
S1
1-0 10.4%
1-1 12.9%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
S2
2-0 6.2%
2-1 7.8%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
S3
3-0 2.5%
3-1 3.1%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.4%) 2-1 (7.8%) 2-0 (6.2%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   R=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Strasbourg Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Rijeka Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Strasbourg
Overall
5.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.3
Rijeka
Overall
6.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
7.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
12.03.26
UECL: Rijeka1
Strasbourg2
Recent Form
Strasbourg
15.03.26
L1: Strasbourg0
Paris FC0
D
12.03.26
UECL: Rijeka1
Strasbourg2
W
07.03.26
L1: Auxerre0
Strasbourg0
D
03.03.26
CDF: Strasbourg2
Reims1
W
27.02.26
L1: Strasbourg1
Lens1
D
22.02.26
L1: Strasbourg3
Lyon1
W
14.02.26
L1: Marseille2
Strasbourg2
D
08.02.26
L1: Le Havre2
Strasbourg1
L
05.02.26
CDF: Strasbourg3
Monaco1
W
01.02.26
L1: Strasbourg1
PSG2
L
Rijeka
15.03.26
HNL: Rijeka0
Istra 19612
L
12.03.26
UECL: Rijeka1
Strasbourg2
L
08.03.26
HNL: Vukovar 19910
Rijeka1
W
04.03.26
CUP: Rijeka3
Hajduk Split2
W
01.03.26
HNL: Rijeka2
Lok. Zagreb0
W
26.02.26
UECL: Rijeka3
Omonia1
W
22.02.26
HNL: Hajduk Split1
Rijeka0
L
19.02.26
UECL: Omonia0
Rijeka1
W
14.02.26
HNL: Rijeka3
Varazdin1
W
08.02.26
HNL: Rijeka0
Din. Zagreb0
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 19th March 2026, Strasbourg host Rijeka in UEFA Conference League. We recommend Strasbourg to win as the standout selection.

Strasbourg arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Rijeka are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Strasbourg, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Rijeka's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: strasbourg to win at odds of 1.41 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this UEFA Conference League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer. Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today. It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page. The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the 1.41 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Strasbourg vs Rijeka?
Our selection is 1 — Strasbourg to win, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Strasbourg's current form?
Strasbourg have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rijeka been performing recently?
Rijeka have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Strasbourg lead with 1 wins versus Rijeka's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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