WON
Result: St Patricks 4-1 Sligo Rovers
DirectWinPredict Ireland Premier Division St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers
S

St Patricks

Home Side
W D W W W
6W 3D 1L
VS
4-1
Ireland Premier Division
S
Sligo Rovers
Away Side
L L L W L
4W 1D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing St Patricks to win — Friday, 3rd April 2026
Best Odds 1.38
Confidence 40%
Implied Prob 72.5%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — St Patricks to win
1.38
Under 2.5 Goals80% BTTS — No90%
Implied Prob
72.5%
Based on 1.38 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-32.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
St Patricks
8
Draws
2
Sligo Rovers
10
Meetings
20%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.6
Avg Goals
Against Pick St Patricks won 0 of the last 10 meetings (8 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
St Patricks
Metric
Sligo Rovers
0
Goals For / Game
1.2
0
Goals Against / Game
1
0%
Clean Sheet %
40%
6-3-1
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate Comparison
60%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
S0
0-0 33.3%
0-1 20.0%
0-2 6.0%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 16.6%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 3.0%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 4.2%
2-1 2.5%
2-2 0.8%
2-3 0.2%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 0.7%
3-1 0.4%
3-2 0.1%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (16.6%) 2-0 (4.2%) 2-1 (2.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
St Patricks Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Sligo Rovers Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
St Patricks
Overall
6.9
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Sligo Rovers
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Home Win & BTTS No 45%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 3%
Away Win & BTTS No 30%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 10%
Home Win & Under 2.5 40%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 26%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
27.09.25
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers1
St. Patrick’s0
10.08.25
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s3
Sligo Rovers0
30.05.25
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers0
St. Patrick’s1
28.02.25
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s4
Sligo Rovers3
01.11.24
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers0
St. Patrick’s2
04.08.24
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s3
Sligo Rovers2
06.05.24
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers1
St. Patrick’s0
01.04.24
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s3
Sligo Rovers0
23.10.23
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s1
Sligo Rovers0
04.08.23
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers0
St. Patrick’s2
Recent Form
St Patricks
20.03.26
Premier Division: Waterford FC0
St. Patrick’s2
W
16.03.26
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s0
Derry City0
D
13.03.26
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s4
Drogheda United1
W
06.03.26
Premier Division: Shelbourne F.C.2
St. Patrick’s3
W
02.03.26
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s1
Galway United0
W
27.02.26
Premier Division: St. Patrick’s4
Dundalk F.C.0
W
20.02.26
Premier Division: Shamrock Rovers2
St. Patrick’s0
L
08.02.26
Premier Division: Bohemian F.C.0
St. Patrick’s0
D
23.01.26
Friendly: St. Patrick’s1
Cork City1
D
16.01.26
Friendly: Bray Wanderers0
St. Patrick’s3
W
Sligo Rovers
21.03.26
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers0
Shelbourne1
L
16.03.26
Premier Division: Dundalk1
Sligo Rovers0
L
13.03.26
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers0
Shamrock Rovers2
L
07.03.26
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers2
Drogheda United1
W
27.02.26
Premier Division: Galway United1
Sligo Rovers0
L
20.02.26
Premier Division: Waterford FC0
Sligo Rovers0
D
14.02.26
Premier Division: Sligo Rovers0
Bohemians4
L
06.02.26
Premier Division: Derry City2
Sligo Rovers1
L
31.01.26
Friendly: Sligo Rovers1
Finn Harps0
W
24.01.26
Friendly: Sligo Rovers6
Galway United0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Ireland Premier Division game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.38 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers?
Our selection is 1 — St Patricks to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 40%.
What is St Patricks's current form?
St Patricks have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sligo Rovers been performing recently?
Sligo Rovers have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
St Patricks lead with 0 wins versus Sligo Rovers's 2, with 8 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
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