LOST

Result: Sportunion Mauer 1-2 Retz

Sportunion Mauer

Home Side

L W L W W

4W 2D 4L

1-2

Austria Regionalliga East

Retz

Away Side

D L L L L

1W 2D 7L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Sportunion Mauer to win — Saturday, 30th May 2026

Best Odds 1.37

Confidence 38%

Implied Prob 73%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Sportunion Mauer to win

1.37

BTTS — No65%

Implied Prob

73%

Based on 1.37 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-35%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Sportunion Mauer

Draws

Retz

Meetings

BTTS Rate

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Against Pick Sportunion Mauer won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Sportunion Mauer

Metric

Retz

1.5

Goals For / Game

0.5

1.6

Goals Against / Game

1.8

40%

Clean Sheet %

20%

4-2-4

W — D — L

1-2-7

Win Rate Comparison

40%

10%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 6.7%

0-1 7.1%

0-2 3.7%

0-3 1.3%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 11.1%

1-1 11.6%

1-2 6.1%

1-3 2.1%

1-4 0.6%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.2%

2-1 9.6%

2-2 5.0%

2-3 1.8%

2-4 0.5%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 5.0%

3-1 5.3%

3-2 2.8%

3-3 1.0%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.1%

4-1 2.2%

4-2 1.1%

4-3 0.4%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.7%

5-1 0.7%

5-2 0.4%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.1%) 2-1 (9.6%) 2-0 (9.2%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓ R=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Sportunion Mauer Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Retz Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Sportunion Mauer

Overall

4.6 ▼

Scoring

5.0 ▼

Defence

4.7 ▼

Retz

Overall

1.6 ▲

Scoring

1.7 ▲

Defence

4.0 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%

Home Win & BTTS No 37%

Draw & BTTS Yes 10%

Draw & BTTS No 19%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%

Away Win & BTTS No 9%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 29%

Home Win & Under 2.5 29%

Draw & Over 2.5 15%

Draw & Under 2.5 15%

Away Win & Over 2.5 7%

Away Win & Under 2.5 7%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

15.11.25RL

Retz0

Sportunion Mauer0

Recent Form

Sportunion Mauer

22.05.26RL

Gloggnitz2

Sportunion Mauer1

15.05.26RL

Sportunion Mauer1

Leobendorf0

08.05.26RL

Neusiedl3

Sportunion Mauer2

01.05.26RL

Sportunion Mauer5

SV Oberwart3

24.04.26RL

SV Donau2

Sportunion Mauer4

17.04.26RL

Sportunion Mauer0

Marchfeld3

14.04.26RL

TWL Elektra0

Sportunion Mauer2

06.04.26RL

Sportunion Mauer0

Horn0

03.04.26RL

Donaufeld Wien3

Sportunion Mauer0

28.03.26RL

Sportunion Mauer0

Parndorf0

Retz

16.05.26RL

Retz0

Gloggnitz0

09.05.26RL

Leobendorf1

Retz0

02.05.26RL

Retz1

Neusiedl3

28.04.26RL

Wiener Sport-Club2

Retz1

24.04.26RL

SV Oberwart4

Retz0

18.04.26RL

Retz0

SV Donau4

10.04.26RL

Marchfeld1

Retz0

06.04.26RL

Retz2

TWL Elektra0

03.04.26RL

Horn1

Retz1

28.03.26RL

Retz0

Donaufeld Wien2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Austria Regionalliga East game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.37 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Sportunion Mauer vs Retz?

Our selection is 1 — Sportunion Mauer to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 38%.

What is Sportunion Mauer's current form?

Sportunion Mauer have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.

How has Retz been performing recently?

Retz have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Sportunion Mauer lead with 0 wins versus Retz's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.

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