WON
Result: Hafnarfjordur W 6-2 Fram W
DirectWinPredict Iceland Besta deild Women Hafnarfjordur W vs Fram W
H

Hafnarfjordur W

Home Side
W W W W W
5W 2D 3L
VS
6-2
Iceland Besta deild Women
F
Fram W
Away Side
W D W L L
3W 2D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Hafnarfjordur W to win — Saturday, 30th May 2026
Best Odds 1.17
Confidence 64%
Implied Prob 85.5%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Hafnarfjordur W to win
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90%
Implied Prob
85.5%
Based on 1.17 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-21.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
2
Hafnarfjordur W
0
Draws
0
Fram W
2
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Hafnarfjordur W won 2 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Hafnarfjordur W
Metric
Fram W
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.8
20%
Clean Sheet %
20%
5-2-3
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate Comparison
50%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
H0
0-0 3.3%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
H1
1-0 6.8%
1-1 9.2%
1-2 6.2%
1-3 2.8%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
H2
2-0 7.0%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
H3
3-0 4.8%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 4.4%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
H4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 2.2%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.5%) 2-0 (7.0%) 1-0 (6.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · H=Home goals ↓   F=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Hafnarfjordur W Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Fram W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Hafnarfjordur W
Overall
5.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
5.0
Fram W
Overall
3.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
25.07.25BD
Hafnarfjordur W3
Fram1
22.04.25BD
Fram W0
Hafnarfjordur2
Recent Form
Hafnarfjordur W
25.05.26BD
Breidablik W2
Hafnarfjordur W3
W
20.05.26BD
Hafnarfjordur W3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W0
W
15.05.26CUP
Selfoss W0
Hafnarfjordur W7
W
10.05.26BD
Stjarnan W1
Hafnarfjordur W2
W
06.05.26BD
Hafnarfjordur W2
Grindavik/Njardvik W1
W
30.04.26BD
Throttur W2
Hafnarfjordur W1
L
25.04.26BD
Thor/KA W1
Hafnarfjordur W1
D
03.04.26SCW
Breidablik W3
Hafnarfjordur W1
L
10.03.26CUP
Thor/KA W4
Hafnarfjordur W2
L
07.03.26CUP
Hafnarfjordur W1
FHL W1
W
Fram W
25.05.26BD
Fram W3
Thor/KA W2
W
20.05.26BD
Valur W0
Fram W0
D
15.05.26CUP
Fram W3
Akranes W0
W
11.05.26BD
Fram W0
Vikingur Reykjavik W1
L
05.05.26BD
Fram W0
Throttur W3
L
29.04.26BD
Breidablik W2
Fram W0
L
25.04.26BD
Fram W3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W4
L
16.03.26CUP
Fram W0
Breidablik W4
L
09.03.26CUP
Valur W1
Fram W2
W
21.02.26CUP
Fram W1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Iceland Besta deild Women game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.17 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Hafnarfjordur W vs Fram W?
Our selection is 1 — Hafnarfjordur W to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Hafnarfjordur W's current form?
Hafnarfjordur W have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Fram W been performing recently?
Fram W have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hafnarfjordur W lead with 2 wins versus Fram W's 0, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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