WON

Result: Sporting CP 3-0 Gil Vicente

Sporting CP

Home Side

W W D D D

4W 4D 2L

3-0

Portugal Liga

Gil Vicente

Away Side

L D W L D

2W 4D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Sporting CP to win — Saturday, 16th May 2026

Best Odds 1.17

Confidence 57%

Implied Prob 85.5%

60%

20%

⚔ Head to Head Record

Sporting CP

Draws

Gil Vicente

Meetings

50%

BTTS Rate

60%

Over 2.5

2.6

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Sporting CP won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Sporting CP

Metric

Gil Vicente

1.8

Goals For / Game

1.3

Goals Against / Game

1.4

30%

Clean Sheet %

20%

4-4-2

W — D — L

2-4-4

Win Rate Comparison

40%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 6.4%

0-1 7.4%

0-2 4.2%

0-3 1.6%

0-4 0.5%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 10.2%

1-1 11.8%

1-2 6.8%

1-3 2.6%

1-4 0.8%

1-5 0.2%

2-0 8.2%

2-1 9.4%

2-2 5.4%

2-3 2.1%

2-4 0.6%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 4.4%

3-1 5.0%

3-2 2.9%

3-3 1.1%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 1.8%

4-1 2.0%

4-2 1.2%

4-3 0.4%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.6%

5-1 0.6%

5-2 0.4%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.2%) 2-1 (9.4%) 2-0 (8.2%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓ G=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Sporting CP Win

60%

1.67

Draw

20%

Gil Vicente Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Sporting CP

Overall

5.2 —

Scoring

6.0 —

Defence

6.7 —

Gil Vicente

Overall

3.2 —

Scoring

4.3 —

Defence

5.3 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%

Home Win & BTTS No 16%

Draw & BTTS Yes 24%

Draw & BTTS No 16%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%

Away Win & BTTS No 8%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 24%

Home Win & Under 2.5 16%

Draw & Over 2.5 24%

Draw & Under 2.5 16%

Away Win & Over 2.5 12%

Away Win & Under 2.5 8%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

02.01.26LP

Gil Vicente1

Sporting CP1

04.05.25LP

Sporting CP2

Gil Vicente1

27.02.25TP

Gil Vicente0

Sporting CP1

22.12.24LP

Gil Vicente0

Sporting CP0

12.04.24LP

Gil Vicente0

Sporting CP4

04.12.23LP

Sporting CP3

Gil Vicente1

05.04.23LP

Gil Vicente0

Sporting CP0

30.09.22LP

Sporting CP3

Gil Vicente1

01.05.22LP

Sporting CP4

Gil Vicente1

18.12.21LP

Gil Vicente0

Sporting CP3

Recent Form

Sporting CP

11.05.26LP

Rio Ave1

Sporting CP4

04.05.26LP

Sporting CP5

Vitoria Guimaraes1

29.04.26LP

Sporting CP2

Tondela2

26.04.26LP

AFS1

Sporting CP1

22.04.26TP

FC Porto0

Sporting CP0

19.04.26LP

Sporting CP1

Benfica2

15.04.26CL

Arsenal0

Sporting CP0

11.04.26LP

Estrela0

Sporting CP1

07.04.26CL

Sporting CP0

Arsenal1

03.04.26LP

Sporting CP4

Santa Clara2

Gil Vicente

11.05.26LP

Gil Vicente1

Arouca3

03.05.26LP

Rio Ave0

Gil Vicente0

27.04.26LP

Gil Vicente2

Casa Pia1

18.04.26LP

Gil Vicente0

Vitoria Guimaraes1

13.04.26LP

Tondela2

Gil Vicente2

03.04.26LP

Gil Vicente3

AFS0

21.03.26LP

Santa Clara1

Gil Vicente0

14.03.26LP

Gil Vicente2

Alverca2

08.03.26LP

Estrela2

Gil Vicente2

02.03.26LP

Gil Vicente1

Benfica2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Portugal Liga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.17 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente?

Our selection is 1 — Sporting CP to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 57%.

What is Sporting CP's current form?

Sporting CP have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Gil Vicente been performing recently?

Gil Vicente have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Sporting CP lead with 7 wins versus Gil Vicente's 0, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.

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