WON
Result: Al Muharraq 1-0 Aali Club
DirectWinPredict Bahrain Premier League Al Muharraq vs Aali Club
A

Al Muharraq

Home Side
W W W W W
8W 1D 1L
VS
1-0
Bahrain Premier League
A
Aali Club
Away Side
W W L L W
6W 0D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Al Muharraq to win — Saturday, 16th May 2026
Best Odds 1.18
Confidence 56%
Implied Prob 84.7%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Muharraq to win
1.18
BTTS — No65%
Implied Prob
84.7%
Based on 1.18 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-28.7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Al Muharraq
1
Draws
0
Aali Club
1
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
0%
Over 2.5
2
Avg Goals
Against Pick Al Muharraq won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Al Muharraq
Metric
Aali Club
1.8
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
0.8
40%
Clean Sheet %
40%
8-1-1
W — D — L
6-0-4
Win Rate Comparison
80%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 11.1%
0-1 10.0%
0-2 4.5%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 14.4%
1-1 13.0%
1-2 5.8%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 9.4%
2-1 8.4%
2-2 3.8%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 4.1%
3-1 3.7%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 1.2%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.4%) 2-0 (9.4%) 2-1 (8.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Al Muharraq Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Aali Club Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Al Muharraq
Overall
8.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.3
Aali Club
Overall
6.0
Scoring
3.3
Defence
7.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 27%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 1%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
10.01.26PL
Aali Club1
Al-Muharraq1
Recent Form
Al Muharraq
11.05.26PL
Al Khalidiyah1
Al-Muharraq2
W
04.05.26PL
Al-Najma1
Al-Muharraq3
W
29.04.26PL
Al-Muharraq1
Al-Budaiya0
W
24.04.26KC
Al-Muharraq2
Al Riffa1
W
16.04.26PL
Al-Hidd0
Al-Muharraq1
W
11.04.26KC
Al-Muharraq2
Al-Ahli Manama1
W
03.04.26PL
Al-Muharraq3
Sitra0
W
18.03.26SC
Al-Muharraq0
Al Khalidiyah3
L
12.03.26PL
Al Riffa1
Al-Muharraq1
D
27.02.26KC
Al-Muharraq3
Al-Shabbab0
W
Aali Club
10.05.26PL
Aali Club2
Al-Budaiya0
W
04.05.26PL
Al-Hidd0
Aali Club1
W
27.04.26PL
Aali Club0
Sitra2
L
17.04.26PL
Al Riffa1
Aali Club0
L
02.04.26PL
Aali Club2
Bahrain SC1
W
14.03.26PL
Malkia0
Aali Club1
W
27.02.26KC
Al Khalidiyah2
Aali Club0
L
19.02.26PL
Aali Club0
Al-Shabbab1
L
12.02.26PL
Al-Ahli Manama1
Aali Club2
W
05.02.26KC
Aali Club2
Al-Najma0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Bahrain Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.18 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Muharraq vs Aali Club?
Our selection is 1 — Al Muharraq to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Al Muharraq's current form?
Al Muharraq have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Aali Club been performing recently?
Aali Club have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Muharraq lead with 0 wins versus Aali Club's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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