WON
Result: Spain U21 2-0 Kosovo U21
DirectWinPredict Euro U21 Qualification Spain U21 vs Kosovo U21
S

Spain U21

Home Side
W W W W W
8W 1D 1L
VS
2-0
Euro U21 Qualification
K
Kosovo U21
Away Side
L D W W L
3W 4D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Tuesday, 31st March 2026
Best Odds 1.35
Confidence 88%
Implied Prob 74.1%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals65% Kosovo U21 Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
74.1%
Based on 1.35 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+13.9%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
53.7%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Spain U21
0
Draws
0
Kosovo U21
1
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Spain U21
Metric
Kosovo U21
3.2
Goals For / Game
1.5
0.8
Goals Against / Game
0.7
40%
Clean Sheet %
60%
8-1-1
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate Comparison
80%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
S0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 8.8%
1-1 10.1%
1-2 5.8%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.2%
S2
2-0 8.6%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 5.6%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (10.1%) 2-1 (9.9%) 1-0 (8.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   K=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Spain U21
Overall
8.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.3
Kosovo U21
Overall
4.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
09.09.25
EUR U21: Kosovo U211
Spain U213
Recent Form
Spain U21
27.03.26
EUR: Cyprus U210
Spain U217
W
18.11.25
EUR: Romania U210
Spain U212
W
14.11.25
EUR: Spain U217
San Marino U210
W
14.10.25
EUR: Spain U212
Finland U211
W
10.10.25
FI: Spain U214
Norway U211
W
09.09.25
EUR: Kosovo U211
Spain U213
W
05.09.25
EUR: Spain U213
Cyprus U210
W
21.06.25
EUR: Spain U211
England U213
L
17.06.25
EUR: Spain U211
Italy U211
D
14.06.25
EUR: Spain U212
Romania U211
W
Kosovo U21
27.03.26
EUR: Kosovo U210
Romania U211
L
18.11.25
EUR: Finland U210
Kosovo U210
D
14.11.25
EUR: Cyprus U210
Kosovo U214
W
14.10.25
EUR: Kosovo U217
San Marino U210
W
09.09.25
EUR: Kosovo U211
Spain U213
L
05.09.25
EUR: Romania U210
Kosovo U210
D
31.05.25
FI: North Macedonia U210
Kosovo U210
D
28.05.25
FI: Kosovo U210
North Macedonia U210
D
25.03.25
FI: Moldova U211
Kosovo U212
W
21.03.25
FI: Turkey U212
Kosovo U211
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 31st March 2026, Spain U21 host Kosovo U21 in Euro U21 Qualification. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Spain U21 arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kosovo U21 are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 4D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Spain U21, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Kosovo U21's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Euro U21 Qualification game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.35 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Spain U21 vs Kosovo U21?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 88%.
What is Spain U21's current form?
Spain U21 have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kosovo U21 been performing recently?
Kosovo U21 have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Spain U21 lead with 1 wins versus Kosovo U21's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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