WON

Result: Slavia Prague 5-1 Jablonec

Slavia Prague

Home Side

L W W L D

6W 1D 3L

5-1

Czech Chance Liga

Jablonec

Away Side

D L L W L

3W 2D 5L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Slavia Prague to win — Wednesday, 13th May 2026

Best Odds 1.39

Confidence 56%

Implied Prob 71.9%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Slavia Prague to win

1.39

Over 1.5 Goals90%

Implied Prob

71.9%

Based on 1.39 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-15.9%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Slavia Prague

Draws

Jablonec

Meetings

90%

BTTS Rate

80%

Over 2.5

4.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Slavia Prague won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Slavia Prague

Metric

Jablonec

1.8

Goals For / Game

1.3

1.1

Goals Against / Game

1.4

40%

Clean Sheet %

20%

6-1-3

W — D — L

3-2-5

Win Rate Comparison

60%

30%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 6.1%

0-1 7.3%

0-2 4.4%

0-3 1.8%

0-4 0.5%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 9.7%

1-1 11.7%

1-2 7.0%

1-3 2.8%

1-4 0.8%

1-5 0.2%

2-0 7.8%

2-1 9.3%

2-2 5.6%

2-3 2.2%

2-4 0.7%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 4.2%

3-1 5.0%

3-2 3.0%

3-3 1.2%

3-4 0.4%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 1.7%

4-1 2.0%

4-2 1.2%

4-3 0.5%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.5%

5-1 0.6%

5-2 0.4%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (9.7%) 2-1 (9.3%) 2-0 (7.8%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓ J=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Slavia Prague Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Jablonec Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Slavia Prague

Overall

6.3 ▲

Scoring

6.0 ▲

Defence

6.3 ▲

Jablonec

Overall

3.6 ▲

Scoring

4.3 ▲

Defence

5.3 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%

Home Win & BTTS No 23%

Draw & BTTS Yes 8%

Draw & BTTS No 6%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%

Away Win & BTTS No 12%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 34%

Home Win & Under 2.5 23%

Draw & Over 2.5 8%

Draw & Under 2.5 6%

Away Win & Over 2.5 17%

Away Win & Under 2.5 12%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

03.03.26CUP

Jablonec3

Slavia Prague (aet)2

13.12.251L

Slavia Prague4

Jablonec3

16.08.251L

Jablonec1

Slavia Prague1

18.05.251L

Jablonec3

Slavia Prague2

16.03.251L

Slavia Prague3

Jablonec0

20.10.241L

Jablonec1

Slavia Prague2

11.02.241L

Slavia Prague4

Jablonec3

27.08.231L

Jablonec1

Slavia Prague1

29.01.231L

Slavia Prague5

Jablonec1

14.08.221L

Jablonec2

Slavia Prague3

Recent Form

Slavia Prague

09.05.261L

Slavia Prague0

Sparta Prague3

02.05.261L

Liberec1

Slavia Prague2

25.04.261L

Slavia Prague2

Sigma Olomouc1

19.04.261L

Hradec Kralove2

Slavia Prague1

12.04.261L

Slavia Prague0

Plzen0

05.04.261L

Ostrava0

Slavia Prague2

14.03.261L

Zlin1

Slavia Prague3

08.03.261L

Slavia Prague3

Sparta Prague1

03.03.26CUP

Jablonec3

Slavia Prague2

27.02.261L

Dukla Prague0

Slavia Prague2

Jablonec

10.05.261L

Jablonec1

Hradec Kralove1

03.05.261L

Sparta Prague2

Jablonec0

25.04.261L

Jablonec1

Liberec2

21.04.26CUP

Jablonec1

Mlada Boleslav0

18.04.261L

Sparta Prague3

Jablonec1

11.04.261L

Jablonec4

Ostrava1

04.04.261L

Zlin0

Jablonec3

27.03.26CF

Bohemians1

Jablonec1

14.03.261L

Dukla Prague2

Jablonec0

07.03.261L

Jablonec1

Sigma Olomouc2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Czech Chance Liga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.39 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Slavia Prague vs Jablonec?

Our selection is 1 — Slavia Prague to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 56%.

What is Slavia Prague's current form?

Slavia Prague have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.

How has Jablonec been performing recently?

Jablonec have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Slavia Prague lead with 6 wins versus Jablonec's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 90%.

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