WON

Result: Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 Obolon

Shakhtar Donetsk

Home Side

W L W L W

6W 2D 2L

3-1

Ukraine Premier League

Obolon

Away Side

D D L D L

1W 5D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Shakhtar Donetsk to win — Wednesday, 13th May 2026

Best Odds 1.22

Confidence 66%

Implied Prob 82%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Shakhtar Donetsk to win

1.22

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%

Implied Prob

82%

Based on 1.22 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-16%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Shakhtar Donetsk

Draws

Obolon

Meetings

BTTS Rate

60%

Over 2.5

3.2

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Shakhtar Donetsk won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Shakhtar Donetsk

Metric

Obolon

2.1

Goals For / Game

1.2

Goals Against / Game

1.8

30%

Clean Sheet %

20%

6-2-2

W — D — L

1-5-4

Win Rate Comparison

60%

10%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 4.7%

0-1 5.2%

0-2 2.9%

0-3 1.1%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 9.2%

1-1 10.2%

1-2 5.6%

1-3 2.1%

1-4 0.6%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.0%

2-1 9.9%

2-2 5.5%

2-3 2.0%

2-4 0.6%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 5.9%

3-1 6.4%

3-2 3.5%

3-3 1.3%

3-4 0.4%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.9%

4-1 3.1%

4-2 1.7%

4-3 0.6%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.1%

5-1 1.2%

5-2 0.7%

5-3 0.3%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.9%) 1-0 (9.2%) 2-0 (9.0%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓ O=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Shakhtar Donetsk Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Obolon Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Shakhtar Donetsk

Overall

6.6 —

Scoring

7.0 —

Defence

6.0 —

Obolon

Overall

2.5 ▲

Scoring

3.3 ▲

Defence

4.0 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%

Home Win & BTTS No 20%

Draw & BTTS Yes 21%

Draw & BTTS No 12%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%

Away Win & BTTS No 4%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 40%

Home Win & Under 2.5 17%

Draw & Over 2.5 23%

Draw & Under 2.5 10%

Away Win & Over 2.5 7%

Away Win & Under 2.5 3%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

22.11.25PL

Obolon0

Shakhtar Donetsk6

29.03.25PL

Obolon0

Shakhtar Donetsk2

23.09.24PL

Shakhtar Donetsk4

Obolon0

30.03.24PL

Obolon0

Shakhtar Donetsk3

16.09.23PL

Shakhtar Donetsk1

Obolon0

20.07.21CF

Shakhtar Donetsk5

Obolon0

27.05.20CF

Obolon0

Shakhtar Donetsk4

23.08.14CUP

Obolon0

Shakhtar Donetsk1

06.11.11PL

Obolon0

Shakhtar Donetsk2

10.07.11PL

Shakhtar Donetsk4

Obolon0

Recent Form

Shakhtar Donetsk

10.05.26PL

SC Poltava0

Shakhtar Donetsk4

07.05.26UECL

Crystal Palace2

Shakhtar Donetsk1

03.05.26PL

Dyn. Kyiv1

Shakhtar Donetsk2

30.04.26UECL

Shakhtar Donetsk1

Crystal Palace3

26.04.26PL

Kudrivka1

Shakhtar Donetsk3

23.04.26PL

FK Zorya Luhansk1

Shakhtar Donetsk2

20.04.26PL

Shakhtar Donetsk1

Polissya Zhytomyr0

16.04.26UECL

AZ Alkmaar2

Shakhtar Donetsk2

13.04.26PL

LNZ Cherkasy2

Shakhtar Donetsk2

09.04.26UECL

Shakhtar Donetsk3

AZ Alkmaar0

Obolon

09.05.26PL

Obolon2

Epitsentr2

03.05.26PL

Obolon1

Kudrivka1

26.04.26PL

Polissya Zhytomyr3

Obolon1

17.04.26PL

Obolon1

SC Poltava1

11.04.26PL

Veres-Rivne2

Obolon0

05.04.26PL

Obolon3

FK Zorya Luhansk3

22.03.26PL

Karpaty Lviv4

Obolon0

13.03.26PL

Dyn. Kyiv2

Obolon1

07.03.26PL

Obolon0

Kryvbas0

01.03.26PL

Obolon1

Rukh Lviv0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Ukraine Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.22 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon?

Our selection is 1 — Shakhtar Donetsk to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 66%.

What is Shakhtar Donetsk's current form?

Shakhtar Donetsk have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Obolon been performing recently?

Obolon have recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Shakhtar Donetsk lead with 10 wins versus Obolon's 0, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.

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