WON
Result: Sileks 4-0 Brera Strumica
DirectWinPredict North Macedonia 1. MFL Sileks vs Brera Strumica
S

Sileks

Home Side
W W W L D
5W 2D 3L
VS
4-0
North Macedonia 1. MFL
B
Brera Strumica
Away Side
D D W L L
3W 4D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Sileks to win — Friday, 17th April 2026
Best Odds 1.33
Confidence 53%
Implied Prob 75.2%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Sileks to win
1.33
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No70% Sileks Clean Sheet70%
Implied Prob
75.2%
Based on 1.33 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-22.2%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
6
Sileks
3
Draws
1
Brera Strumica
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
3.3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Sileks won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Sileks
Metric
Brera Strumica
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.4
70%
Clean Sheet %
40%
5-2-3
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate Comparison
50%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
S0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 8.5%
0-2 3.6%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 14.5%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 3.8%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 5.1%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.5%) 2-0 (10.5%) 2-1 (9.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   B=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Sileks Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Brera Strumica Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Sileks
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
8.3
Brera Strumica
Overall
4.2
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 19%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 16%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
05.11.251. MFL
Brera Strumica3
Sileks3
11.08.251. MFL
Sileks5
Brera Strumica0
15.03.251. MFL
Brera Strumica0
Sileks2
03.11.241. MFL
Brera Strumica0
Sileks1
18.08.241. MFL
Sileks4
Brera Strumica0
16.03.241. MFL
Sileks2
Brera Strumica1
18.02.241. MFL
Sileks0
Brera Strumica1
24.09.231. MFL
Brera Strumica1
Sileks1
14.05.231. MFL
Brera Strumica2
Sileks2
25.03.23Club Friendly
Brera Strumica2
Sileks3
Recent Form
Sileks
11.04.261. MFL
Sileks1
Bashkimi0
W
07.04.261. MFL
Tikves0
Sileks3
W
03.04.261. MFL
Sileks6
Shkupi0
W
20.03.261. MFL
Rabotnicki2
Sileks0
L
16.03.261. MFL
Sileks0
Pelister0
D
09.03.261. MFL
Sileks0
Vardar1
L
05.03.261. MFL
Pelister0
Sileks0
D
01.03.261. MFL
Tikves0
Sileks1
W
25.02.26Macedonian Cup
Detonit Plackovica0
Sileks3
W
22.02.261. MFL
Sileks1
Shkendija2
L
Brera Strumica
4.04.261. MFL
Brera Strumica1
Makedonija GP1
D
07.04.261. MFL
Bashkimi0
Brera Strumica0
D
03.04.261. MFL
Brera Strumica2
Arsimi1
W
20.03.261. MFL
Tikves6
Brera Strumica1
L
14.03.261. MFL
Vardar1
Brera Strumica0
L
09.03.261. MFL
Shkendija1
Brera Strumica1
D
03.03.261. MFL
Brera Strumica0
Struga0
D
27.02.261. MFL
Bashkimi0
Brera Strumica2
W
20.02.261. MFL
Brera Strumica3
Rabotnicki4
L
16.02.261. MFL
Arsimi0
Brera Strumica2
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 17th April 2026, Sileks host Brera Strumica in North Macedonia 1. MFL . We recommend Sileks to win as the standout selection.

Sileks arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Brera Strumica are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 4D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Sileks, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Brera Strumica's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: sileks to win at odds of 1.33 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this North Macedonia 1. MFL game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash.

The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer. Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed.

By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today. It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look.

When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page. The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.33 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it.

Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Sileks vs Brera Strumica?
Our selection is 1 — Sileks to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Sileks's current form?
Sileks have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Brera Strumica been performing recently?
Brera Strumica have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Sileks lead with 6 wins versus Brera Strumica's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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