WON
Result: Metalist Kharkiv 1-2 Bukovyna
DirectWinPredict Ukraine Persha Liga Metalist Kharkiv vs Bukovyna
M

Metalist Kharkiv

Home Side
L W D W W
4W 2D 4L
VS
1-2
Ukraine Persha Liga
B
Bukovyna
Away Side
W W W W W
10W 0D 0L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Bukovyna to win — Friday, 17th April 2026
Best Odds 1.36
Confidence 68%
Implied Prob 73.5%
H
30%
D
20%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Bukovyna to win
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals65%
Implied Prob
73.5%
Based on 1.36 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-5.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Metalist Kharkiv
1
Draws
6
Bukovyna
7
Meetings
43%
BTTS Rate
43%
Over 2.5
2.1
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Bukovyna won 6 of 7 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Metalist Kharkiv
Metric
Bukovyna
0.9
Goals For / Game
2.3
1.3
Goals Against / Game
0.6
20%
Clean Sheet %
40%
4-2-4
W — D — L
10-0-0
Win Rate Comparison
40%
100%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
M0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 14.1%
0-2 12.7%
0-3 7.6%
0-4 3.4%
0-5 1.2%
M1
1-0 5.9%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 9.5%
1-3 5.7%
1-4 2.6%
1-5 0.9%
M2
2-0 2.2%
2-1 4.0%
2-2 3.6%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.4%
M3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 1.0%
3-2 0.9%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
M4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (14.1%) 0-2 (12.7%) 1-2 (9.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · M=Home goals ↓   B=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Metalist Kharkiv Win
30%
3.33
Draw
20%
5
Bukovyna Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Metalist Kharkiv
Overall
4.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
5.7
Bukovyna
Overall
10.0
Scoring
7.7
Defence
8.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Away Win & BTTS No 30%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 43%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
04.10.25Persha Liga
Bukovyna2
Metalist Kharkiv0
09.11.24Persha Liga
Bukovyna2
Metalist Kharkiv1
15.09.24Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv0
Bukovyna1
03.07.24Club Friendly
Metalist Kharkiv0
Bukovyna0
01.03.24Club Friendly
Bukovyna2
Metalist Kharkiv1
04.11.23Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv2
Bukovyna3
02.09.23Persha Liga
Bukovyna1
Metalist Kharkiv0
Recent Form
Metalist Kharkiv
13.04.26Persha Liga
Livyi Bereg3
Metalist Kharkiv0
L
07.04.26Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv2
FC Chernihiv1
W
03.04.26Persha Liga
Prykarpattya0
Metalist Kharkiv0
D
28.03.26Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv2
Viktoria1
W
22.03.26Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka1
Metalist Kharkiv2
W
30.11.25Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk1
L
22.11.25Persha Liga
Inhulets3
Metalist Kharkiv0
L
15.11.25Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv1
SK Metalurh0
W
08.11.25Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv1
Ch. Odesa1
D
01.11.25Persha Liga
UCSA2
Metalist Kharkiv1
L
Bukovyna
12.04.26Persha Liga
Bukovyna2
Fenix Mariupol1
W
08.04.26Persha Liga
Bukovyna2
Livyi Bereg1
W
03.04.26Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv0
Bukovyna1
W
29.03.26Persha Liga
Bukovyna3
Prykarpattya1
W
20.03.26Persha Liga
Viktoria1
Bukovyna3
W
10.03.26Club Friendly
Bukovyna4
Probiy Horodenka1
W
04.03.26Ukrainian Cup
LNZ Cherkasy0
Bukovyna1
W
13.02.26Club Friendly
Bukovyna1
SC Poltava0
W
29.11.25Persha Liga
Bukovyna3
Probiy Horodenka1
W
23.11.25Persha Liga
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0
Bukovyna3
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 17th April 2026, Metalist Kharkiv host Bukovyna in Ukraine Persha Liga. We recommend Bukovyna to win as the standout selection.

Metalist Kharkiv arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Bukovyna are travelling well, with a record of 10W 0D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Metalist Kharkiv, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Bukovyna's 6, with 1 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 43% of those meetings.

Our verdict: bukovyna to win at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Ukraine Persha Liga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.36 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Metalist Kharkiv vs Bukovyna?
Our selection is 2 — Bukovyna to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Metalist Kharkiv's current form?
Metalist Kharkiv have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bukovyna been performing recently?
Bukovyna have recorded 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Metalist Kharkiv lead with 0 wins versus Bukovyna's 6, with 1 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 43%.
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