PENDING
Result: 1 — Shandong Taishan B to win
DirectWinPredict China League Two Shandong Taishan B vs Changchun Xidu
S

Shandong Taishan B

Home Side
W W W W W
6W 1D 3L
VS
12:00 pm
China League Two
C
Changchun Xidu
Away Side
L W D D L
1W 5D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Shandong Taishan B to win — Saturday, 25th July 2026
Best Odds 1.41
Confidence 50%
Implied Prob 70.9%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Shandong Taishan B to win
1.41
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No70%
Implied Prob
70.9%
Based on 1.41 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-20.9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Shandong Taishan B
1
Draws
1
Changchun Xidu
3
Meetings
67%
BTTS Rate
33%
Over 2.5
3
Avg Goals
Against Pick Shandong Taishan B won 1 of the last 3 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Shandong Taishan B
Metric
Changchun Xidu
1.2
Goals For / Game
0.3
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.1
40%
Clean Sheet %
40%
6-1-3
W — D — L
1-5-4
Win Rate Comparison
60%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
S0
0-0 18.3%
0-1 10.1%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 21.0%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 3.2%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 12.1%
2-1 6.6%
2-2 1.8%
2-3 0.3%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 2.6%
3-2 0.7%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 0.7%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (21.0%) 2-0 (12.1%) 2-1 (6.6%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   C=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Shandong Taishan B Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Changchun Xidu Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Shandong Taishan B
Overall
6.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
7.3
Changchun Xidu
Overall
2.5
Scoring
1.0
Defence
6.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 42%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 3%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 21%
Away Win & Over 2.5 3%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
05.05.26L2
Changchun Xidu1
Shandong Taishan B1
02.07.25L2
Shandong Taishan B4
Changchun Xidu1
27.04.25L2
Changchun Xidu2
Shandong Taishan B0
Recent Form
Shandong Taishan B
18.07.26L2
Shanghai Second1
Shandong Taishan B2
W
12.07.26L2
Qingdao Red Lions0
Shandong Taishan B1
W
04.07.26L2
Shandong Taishan B3
Lanzhou Longyuan1
W
28.06.26L2
Shandong Taishan B1
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai0
W
24.06.26L2
Beijing Technology1
Shandong Taishan B3
W
20.06.26L2
Taian Tiankuang0
Shandong Taishan B1
W
13.06.26L2
Shandong Taishan B0
Nantong Haimen0
D
27.05.26L2
Dalian Yingbo B2
Shandong Taishan B0
L
22.05.26L2
Shandong Taishan B0
Shanghai Port B1
L
09.05.26L2
Dalian Kewei2
Shandong Taishan B1
L
Changchun Xidu
18.07.26L2
Changchun Xidu0
Shanghai Port B2
L
05.07.26L2
Taian Tiankuang0
Changchun Xidu1
W
27.06.26L2
Changchun Xidu0
Nantong Haimen0
D
23.06.26L2
Changchun Xidu0
Lanzhou Longyuan0
D
13.06.26L2
Dalian Kewei3
Changchun Xidu0
L
07.06.26L2
Changchun Xidu1
Qingdao Red Lions1
D
27.05.26L2
Changchun Xidu0
Beijing Technology0
D
23.05.26L2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai3
Changchun Xidu0
L
10.05.26L2
Changchun Xidu0
Shanghai Second1
L
05.05.26L2
Changchun Xidu1
Shandong Taishan B1
D
Shandong Taishan B (Home)
04.07.26L2
Shandong Taishan B3
Lanzhou Longyuan1
W
28.06.26L2
Shandong Taishan B1
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai0
W
13.06.26L2
Shandong Taishan B0
Nantong Haimen0
D
22.05.26L2
Shandong Taishan B0
Shanghai Port B1
L
29.04.26L2
Shandong Taishan B2
Shanghai Second1
W
24.04.26L2
Shandong Taishan B1
Qingdao Red Lions0
W
05.04.26L2
Shandong Taishan B4
Beijing Technology1
W
21.03.26L2
Shandong Taishan B1
Taian Tiankuang3
L
26.10.25L2
Shandong Taishan B5
Shenzhen0
W
05.10.25L2
Shandong Taishan B0
Guangxi Hengchen0
D
Changchun Xidu (Away)
05.07.26L2
Taian Tiankuang0
Changchun Xidu1
W
13.06.26L2
Dalian Kewei3
Changchun Xidu0
L
23.05.26L2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai3
Changchun Xidu0
L
30.04.26L2
Shanghai Port B2
Changchun Xidu1
L
24.04.26L2
Dalian Yingbo B2
Changchun Xidu2
D
18.04.26FAC
Shanghai Zetian4
Changchun Xidu2
L
10.04.26L2
Nantong Haimen4
Changchun Xidu0
L
05.04.26L2
Lanzhou Longyuan0
Changchun Xidu0
D
22.03.26L2
Qingdao Red Lions1
Changchun Xidu1
D
26.10.25L2
Chengdu Rongcheng B4
Changchun Xidu2
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 25th July 2026, Shandong Taishan B host Changchun Xidu at Zoucheng Sports Center (Zoucheng) in China League Two. We recommend Shandong Taishan B to win as the standout selection.

Shandong Taishan B arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Changchun Xidu are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 5D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Shandong Taishan B, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Changchun Xidu's 1, with 1 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: shandong taishan b to win at odds of 1.41 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this China League Two preview lives.

The home team strides in on 5 wins from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Zoucheng Sports Center (Zoucheng), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.41, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 12:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shandong Taishan B vs Changchun Xidu?
Our selection is 1 — Shandong Taishan B to win, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Shandong Taishan B's current form?
Shandong Taishan B have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Changchun Xidu been performing recently?
Changchun Xidu have recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shandong Taishan B lead with 1 wins versus Changchun Xidu's 1, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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