PENDING
Result: 1X — Shamrock Rovers to win or draw
DirectWinPredict Ireland FA Cup Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
S

Shamrock Rovers

Home Side
W L W W W
7W 1D 2L
VS
7:45 pm
Ireland FA Cup
C
Cork City
Away Side
L L W W W
8W 0D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1X
Backing Shamrock Rovers to win or draw — Friday, 17th July 2026
Best Odds 1.09
Confidence 90%
Implied Prob 91.7%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Shamrock Rovers to win or draw
1.09
Over 1.5 Goals80% Cork City Clean Sheet80%
Implied Prob
91.7%
Based on 1.09 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-1.7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
Shamrock Rovers
4
Draws
1
Cork City
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
3.1
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Insufficient H2H data.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Shamrock Rovers
Metric
Cork City
1.8
Goals For / Game
2.3
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1
30%
Clean Sheet %
80%
7-1-2
W — D — L
8-0-2
Win Rate Comparison
70%
80%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
S0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 8.0%
0-2 6.4%
0-3 3.4%
0-4 1.4%
0-5 0.4%
S1
1-0 7.0%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 8.9%
1-3 4.8%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.6%
S2
2-0 4.9%
2-1 7.8%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 3.3%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
S3
3-0 2.3%
3-1 3.6%
3-2 2.9%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (11.2%) 2-1 (7.8%) 1-0 (7.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   C=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Shamrock Rovers
Overall
7.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.0
Cork City
Overall
8.0
Scoring
7.7
Defence
6.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 31%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 26%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
09.11.25FAI
Shamrock Rovers2
Cork City0
19.09.25PD
Cork City1
Shamrock Rovers1
20.06.25PD
Shamrock Rovers4
Cork City1
02.05.25PD
Cork City1
Shamrock Rovers1
14.04.25PD
Shamrock Rovers4
Cork City1
30.10.23PD
Cork City0
Shamrock Rovers0
06.08.23PD
Shamrock Rovers2
Cork City1
26.05.23PD
Cork City1
Shamrock Rovers0
06.03.23PD
Shamrock Rovers4
Cork City4
12.09.20PD
Cork City0
Shamrock Rovers3
Recent Form
Shamrock Rovers
14.07.26CL
Shamrock Rovers5
Floriana1
W
07.07.26CL
Floriana2
Shamrock Rovers0
L
03.07.26PD
Sligo Rovers1
Shamrock Rovers2
W
30.06.26CF
Shamrock Rovers1
Hibernian0
W
26.06.26PD
Shamrock Rovers3
Galway1
W
22.06.26PD
Shamrock Rovers1
Derry City1
D
19.06.26PD
Waterford0
Shamrock Rovers2
W
12.06.26PD
Shelbourne2
Shamrock Rovers1
L
29.05.26PD
Shamrock Rovers1
St. Patricks0
W
25.05.26PD
Bohemians1
Shamrock Rovers2
W
Cork City
14.07.26CF
Cork City1
Cardiff6
L
10.07.26DIV
Cork City3
Longford4
L
03.07.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers0
Cork City1
W
26.06.26DIV
Cork City2
Bray0
W
19.06.26DIV
Cork City4
Treaty United0
W
12.06.26DIV
Wexford0
Cork City2
W
29.05.26DIV
Cork City4
Finn Harps0
W
25.05.26DIV
Treaty United0
Cork City1
W
22.05.26DIV
Athlone0
Cork City3
W
16.05.26DIV
Longford0
Cork City2
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 17th July 2026, Shamrock Rovers host Cork City at Tallaght Stadium (Dublin) in Ireland FA Cup. We recommend Shamrock Rovers to win or draw as the standout selection.

Shamrock Rovers arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Cork City are travelling well, with a record of 8W 0D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Shamrock Rovers, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Cork City's 1, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: shamrock rovers to win or draw at odds of 1.09 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Ireland FA Cup preview lives.

The home team strides in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Tallaght Stadium (Dublin), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1X, priced at @1.09, which the numbers settle at around 90%. The whistle goes at 7:45 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City?
Our selection is 1X — Shamrock Rovers to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.09. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Shamrock Rovers's current form?
Shamrock Rovers have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Cork City been performing recently?
Cork City have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shamrock Rovers lead with 5 wins versus Cork City's 1, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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