WON
Result:
Royale Union SG 2-0 Dender
R
Royale Union SG
Home Side
W
D
W
D
W
3W 2D 0L
VS
2-0
D
Dender
Away Side
D
D
L
L
L
0W 2D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Royale Union SG to win — Saturday, 14th March 2026
Best Odds
1.28
Confidence
65%
Implied Prob
78.1%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Royale Union SG to win
1.28
BTTS — Yes70%
Implied Prob
78.1%
Based on 1.28 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-13.1%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
4
Royale Union SG
1
Draws
0
Dender
5
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Royale Union SG won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Royale Union SG
Metric
Dender
1.8
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
2
20%
Clean Sheet %
20%
3-2-0
W — D — L
0-2-3
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
R0
0-0
6.1%
0-1
5.5%
0-2
2.5%
0-3
0.7%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
R1
1-0
11.6%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
4.7%
1-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
R2
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
R3
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
R4
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
4-2
1.3%
4-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
R5
5-0
1.3%
5-1
1.1%
5-2
0.5%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
1-0 (11.6%)
2-0 (11.0%)
2-1 (9.9%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · R=Home goals ↓ D=Away goals →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
42%
Home Win & BTTS No
18%
Draw & BTTS Yes
28%
Draw & BTTS No
12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Away Win & BTTS No
0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
36%
Home Win & Under 2.5
24%
Draw & Over 2.5
24%
Draw & Under 2.5
16%
Away Win & Over 2.5
0%
Away Win & Under 2.5
0%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
⚽ CUP (Jan 14, 2026): Dender0
Royale Union SG2
⚽ JL (Sep 13, 2025): Dender0
Royale Union SG1
⚽ JL (Mar 1, 2025): Royale Union SG4
Dender1
⚽ CF (Oct 10, 2024): Royale Union SG3
Dender1
⚽ JL (Jul 27, 2024): Dender0
Royale Union SG0
Recent Form
Royale Union SG
⚽ JL (Mar 07, 2026): Royale Union SG2
Genk1
⚽ JL (Mar 01, 2026): Westerlo0
Royale Union SG0
⚽ JL (Feb 21, 2026): Royale Union SG2
Antwerp1
⚽ JL (Feb 14, 2026): St. Liege1
Royale Union SG1
⚽ CUP (Feb 11, 2026): Royale Union SG4
Charleroi1
Dender
⚽ JL (Mar 07, 2026): Dender2
Charleroi2
⚽ JL (Mar 01, 2026): Cercle Brugge0
Dender0
⚽ JL (Feb 21, 2026): Dender1
St. Truiden4
⚽ JL (Feb 14, 2026): OH Leuven3
Dender2
⚽ JL (Feb 07, 2026): Zulte Waregem1
Dender0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 14th March 2026, Royale Union SG host Dender in Jupiler Pro League. We recommend Royale Union SG to win as the standout selection.
Royale Union SG arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Dender are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 2D 3L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour Royale Union SG, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Dender's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.
Our verdict: royale union sg to win at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Royale Union SG vs Dender?
Our selection is 1 — Royale Union SG to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Royale Union SG's current form?
Royale Union SG have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.
How has Dender been performing recently?
Dender have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Royale Union SG lead with 4 wins versus Dender's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.