WON
Result:
Royale Union SG 2-0 Dender
R
Royale Union SG
Home Side
W
D
W
D
W
3W 2D 0L
VS
2-0
D
Dender
Away Side
D
D
L
L
L
0W 2D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Royale Union SG to win — Saturday, 14th March 2026
Best Odds
1.28
Confidence
65%
Implied Prob
78.1%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Royale Union SG to win
1.28
BTTS — Yes70%
Implied Prob
78.1%
Based on 1.28 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-13.1%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
4
Royale Union SG
1
Draws
0
Dender
5
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Royale Union SG won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Royale Union SG
Metric
Dender
1.8
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
2
20%
Clean Sheet %
20%
3-2-0
W — D — L
0-2-3
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
R0
0-0
6.1%
0-1
5.5%
0-2
2.5%
0-3
0.7%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
R1
1-0
11.6%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
4.7%
1-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
R2
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
R3
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
R4
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
4-2
1.3%
4-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
R5
5-0
1.3%
5-1
1.1%
5-2
0.5%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
1-0 (11.6%)
2-0 (11.0%)
2-1 (9.9%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · R=Home goals ↓ D=Away goals →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
42%
Home Win & BTTS No
18%
Draw & BTTS Yes
28%
Draw & BTTS No
12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Away Win & BTTS No
0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
36%
Home Win & Under 2.5
24%
Draw & Over 2.5
24%
Draw & Under 2.5
16%
Away Win & Over 2.5
0%
Away Win & Under 2.5
0%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
⚽ CUP (Jan 14, 2026): Dender0
Royale Union SG2
⚽ JL (Sep 13, 2025): Dender0
Royale Union SG1
⚽ JL (Mar 1, 2025): Royale Union SG4
Dender1
⚽ CF (Oct 10, 2024): Royale Union SG3
Dender1
⚽ JL (Jul 27, 2024): Dender0
Royale Union SG0
Recent Form
Royale Union SG
⚽ JL (Mar 07, 2026): Royale Union SG2
Genk1
⚽ JL (Mar 01, 2026): Westerlo0
Royale Union SG0
⚽ JL (Feb 21, 2026): Royale Union SG2
Antwerp1
⚽ JL (Feb 14, 2026): St. Liege1
Royale Union SG1
⚽ CUP (Feb 11, 2026): Royale Union SG4
Charleroi1
Dender
⚽ JL (Mar 07, 2026): Dender2
Charleroi2
⚽ JL (Mar 01, 2026): Cercle Brugge0
Dender0
⚽ JL (Feb 21, 2026): Dender1
St. Truiden4
⚽ JL (Feb 14, 2026): OH Leuven3
Dender2
⚽ JL (Feb 07, 2026): Zulte Waregem1
Dender0
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Royale Union SG vs Dender?
Our selection is 1 — Royale Union SG to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Royale Union SG's current form?
Royale Union SG have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.
How has Dender been performing recently?
Dender have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Royale Union SG lead with 4 wins versus Dender's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.