WON
Result:
Arsenal 2-0 Everton
A
Arsenal
Home Side
D
W
W
W
W
4W 1D 0L
VS
2-0
E
Everton
Away Side
W
W
L
L
W
3W 0D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Arsenal to win — Saturday, 14th March 2026
Best Odds
1.44
Confidence
19%
Implied Prob
69.4%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Arsenal to win
1.44
Over 1.5 Goals80%
BTTS — Yes70%
Implied Prob
69.4%
Based on 1.44 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-50.4%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
3
Arsenal
2
Draws
0
Everton
5
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
20%
Over 2.5
1.4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Arsenal won 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Arsenal
Metric
Everton
2
Goals For / Game
1.6
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheet %
20%
4-1-0
W — D — L
3-0-2
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
A0
0-0
6.1%
0-1
7.3%
0-2
4.4%
0-3
1.8%
0-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
A1
1-0
9.7%
1-1
11.7%
1-2
7.0%
1-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
A2
2-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
A3
3-0
4.2%
3-1
5.0%
3-2
3.0%
3-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
A4
4-0
1.7%
4-1
2.0%
4-2
1.2%
4-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
A5
5-0
0.5%
5-1
0.6%
5-2
0.4%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
1-0 (9.7%)
2-1 (9.3%)
2-0 (7.8%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ E=Away goals →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
37%
Home Win & BTTS No
16%
Draw & BTTS Yes
5%
Draw & BTTS No
2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
28%
Away Win & BTTS No
12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
32%
Home Win & Under 2.5
21%
Draw & Over 2.5
4%
Draw & Under 2.5
3%
Away Win & Over 2.5
24%
Away Win & Under 2.5
16%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
⚽ PL (Dec 20, 2025): Everton0
Arsenal1
⚽ PL (Apr 5, 2025): Everton1
Arsenal1
⚽ PL (Dec 14, 2024): Arsenal0
Everton0
⚽ PL (May 19, 2024): Arsenal2
Everton1
⚽ PL (Sep 17, 2023): Everton0
Arsenal1
Recent Form
Arsenal
⚽ CL (Mar 11, 2026): Bayer Leverkusen1
Arsenal1
⚽ FAC (Mar 07, 2026): Mansfield1
Arsenal2
⚽ PL (Mar 04, 2026): Brighton0
Arsenal1
⚽ PL (Mar 01, 2026): Arsenal2
Chelsea1
⚽ PL (Feb 22, 2026): Tottenham1
Arsenal4
Everton
⚽ PL (Mar 03, 2026): Everton2
Burnley0
⚽ PL (Feb 28, 2026): Newcastle2
Everton3
⚽ PL (Feb 23, 2026): Everton0
Manchester Utd1
⚽ PL (Feb 10, 2026): Everton1
Bournemouth2
⚽ PL (Feb 07, 2026): Fulham1
Everton2
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 14th March 2026, Arsenal host Everton in Premier League. We recommend Arsenal to win as the standout selection.
Arsenal arrive in strong form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Everton are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 3W 0D 2L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour Arsenal, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Everton's 0, with 2 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.
Our verdict: arsenal to win at odds of 1.44 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Arsenal vs Everton?
Our selection is 1 — Arsenal to win, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 19%.
What is Arsenal's current form?
Arsenal have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.
How has Everton been performing recently?
Everton have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Arsenal lead with 3 wins versus Everton's 0, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.