WON
Result: RFS 5-0 FK Liepaja
DirectWinPredict โ€บ Latvia Virsligaโ€บ RFS vs FK Liepaja
R

RFS

Home Side
W D W W W
8W 1D 1L
VS
5-0
Latvia Virsliga
F
FK Liepaja
Away Side
L D W D D
3W 3D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing RFS to win โ€” Friday, 8th May 2026
Best Odds 1.26
Confidence 67%
Implied Prob 79.4%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
โš” Head to Head Record
8
RFS
1
Draws
1
FK Liepaja
10
Meetings
70%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
3.4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick RFS won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
๐Ÿ“Š Key Stats Duel Comparison
RFS
Metric
FK Liepaja
2
Goals For / Game
1
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.2
50%
Clean Sheet %
10%
8-1-1
W โ€” D โ€” L
3-3-4
Win Rate Comparison
80%
30%
๐ŸŽฏ Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
R0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
R1
1-0 12.5%
1-1 11.9%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
R2
2-0 10.0%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 1.4%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
R3
3-0 5.3%
3-1 5.1%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
R4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
R5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (12.5%) 2-0 (10.0%) 2-1 (9.5%)
โ–  Most likely (tip) โ–  Possible (tip) โ–  Low (tip)  ยท  โ–  Contradicts tip Poisson model ยท R=Home goals โ†“   F=Away goals โ†’
๐Ÿ“‰ Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
RFS Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
FK Liepaja Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
๐Ÿ“ˆ Team Ratings Grades
RFS
Overall
8.3 โ€”
Scoring
6.7 โ€”
Defence
7.0 โ€”
FK Liepaja
Overall
3.9 โ–ฒ
Scoring
3.3 โ–ฒ
Defence
6.0 โ–ฒ
๐Ÿ”€ Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
๐Ÿงฎ Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake Amount
โ€”
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
๐Ÿ“œ Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
13.03.26VIR
FK Liepaja0
RFS1
28.09.25VIR
FK Liepaja2
RFS2
04.07.25VIR
RFS2
FK Liepaja1
14.05.25VIR
FK Liepaja2
RFS1
29.03.25VIR
RFS4
FK Liepaja1
20.09.24VIR
RFS2
FK Liepaja0
01.07.24VIR
FK Liepaja1
RFS3
10.05.24VIR
RFS4
FK Liepaja1
30.03.24VIR
FK Liepaja0
RFS3
30.09.23VIR
RFS3
FK Liepaja1
Recent Form
RFS
02.05.26VIR
Ogre United3
RFS4
W
28.04.26VIR
RFS3
Riga FC3
D
22.04.26VIR
Grobina0
RFS1
W
18.04.26VIR
RFS2
Super Nova0
W
13.04.26VIR
Tukums 20001
RFS2
W
08.04.26VIR
Jelgava0
RFS1
W
04.04.26VIR
RFS0
Auda1
L
21.03.26VIR
RFS4
BFC Daugavpils1
W
13.03.26VIR
FK Liepaja0
RFS1
W
06.03.26VIR
RFS2
Ogre United0
W
FK Liepaja
03.05.26VIR
Riga FC1
FK Liepaja0
L
28.04.26VIR
FK Liepaja1
Grobina1
D
23.04.26VIR
Super Nova1
FK Liepaja2
W
17.04.26VIR
Tukums 20002
FK Liepaja2
D
12.04.26VIR
FK Liepaja1
Jelgava1
D
08.04.26VIR
FK Liepaja1
Auda2
L
03.04.26VIR
BFC Daugavpils2
FK Liepaja0
L
20.03.26VIR
Ogre United0
FK Liepaja1
W
13.03.26VIR
FK Liepaja0
RFS1
L
07.03.26VIR
FK Liepaja2
Riga FC1
W
๐Ÿ“ Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Latvia Virsliga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.26 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

โ“ Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for RFS vs FK Liepaja?
Our selection is 1 โ€” RFS to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is RFS's current form?
RFS have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has FK Liepaja been performing recently?
FK Liepaja have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
RFS lead with 8 wins versus FK Liepaja's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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