WON
Result:
Real Madrid 4-1 Elche
R
Real Madrid
Home Side
W
W
L
W
L
3W 0D 2L
VS
4-1
E
Elche
Away Side
L
D
L
D
L
0W 2D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Real Madrid to win — Saturday, 14th March 2026
Best Odds
1.35
Confidence
56%
Implied Prob
74.1%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Real Madrid to win
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals80%
Over 1.5 Goals80%
BTTS — Yes70%
Implied Prob
74.1%
Based on 1.35 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-18.1%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
3
Real Madrid
2
Draws
0
Elche
5
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
3.6
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Real Madrid won 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Real Madrid
Metric
Elche
1.6
Goals For / Game
1
1
Goals Against / Game
1.8
20%
Clean Sheet %
20%
3-0-2
W — D — L
0-2-3
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
R0
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.7%
0-2
3.4%
0-3
1.1%
0-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
R1
1-0
11.4%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
5.7%
1-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
R2
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
R3
3-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
3-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
R4
4-0
2.3%
4-1
2.3%
4-2
1.2%
4-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
R5
5-0
0.8%
5-1
0.8%
5-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
1-0 (11.4%)
2-0 (9.7%)
2-1 (9.7%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · R=Home goals ↓ E=Away goals →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Real Madrid Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Elche Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
53%
Home Win & BTTS No
23%
Draw & BTTS Yes
18%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Away Win & BTTS No
0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
60%
Home Win & Under 2.5
15%
Draw & Over 2.5
20%
Draw & Under 2.5
5%
Away Win & Over 2.5
0%
Away Win & Under 2.5
0%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
⚽ LL (Nov 23, 2025): Elche2
Real Madrid2
⚽ LL (Feb 15, 2023): Real Madrid4
Elche0
⚽ LL (Oct 19, 2022): Elche0
Real Madrid3
⚽ LL (Jan 23, 2022): Real Madrid2
Elche2
⚽ CDR (Jan 20, 2022): Elche1
Real Madrid2
Recent Form
Real Madrid
⚽ CL (Mar 11, 2026): Real Madrid3
Manchester City0
⚽ LL (Mar 06, 2026): Celta Vigo1
Real Madrid2
⚽ LL (Mar 02, 2026): Real Madrid0
Getafe1
⚽ CL (Feb 25, 2026): Real Madrid2
Benfica1
⚽ LL (Feb 21, 2026): Osasuna2
Real Madrid1
Elche
⚽ LL (Mar 8, 2026): Villarreal2
Elche1
⚽ LL (Mar 1, 2026): Elche2
Espanyol2
⚽ LL (Feb 20, 2026): Ath Bilbao2
Elche1
⚽ LL (Feb 13, 2026): Elche0
Osasuna0
⚽ LL (Feb 7, 2026): Real Sociedad3
Elche1
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Real Madrid vs Elche?
Our selection is 1 — Real Madrid to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Real Madrid's current form?
Real Madrid have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
How has Elche been performing recently?
Elche have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Real Madrid lead with 3 wins versus Elche's 0, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.