WON
Result: PSG 3-0 Nantes
DirectWinPredict Ligue 1 PSG vs Nantes
P

PSG

Home Side
L W W W W
7W 1D 2L
VS
3-0
Ligue 1
N
Nantes
Away Side
D D D L L
1W 3D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing PSG to win — Wednesday, 22nd April 2026
Best Odds 1.19
Confidence 66%
Implied Prob 84%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
7
PSG
2
Draws
1
Nantes
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
3.1
Avg Goals
Supports Pick PSG won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
PSG
Metric
Nantes
2.4
Goals For / Game
0.7
1
Goals Against / Game
1.2
50%
Clean Sheet %
30%
7-1-2
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate Comparison
70%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
P0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 6.0%
0-2 2.6%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
P1
1-0 12.7%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 4.6%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
P2
2-0 11.5%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
P3
3-0 6.9%
3-1 5.8%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
P4
4-0 3.1%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (12.7%) 2-0 (11.5%) 2-1 (9.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · P=Home goals ↓   N=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
PSG Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Nantes Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
PSG
Overall
7.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
6.7
Nantes
Overall
1.9
Scoring
2.3
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 39%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
17.08.25L1
Nantes0
PSG1
22.04.25L1
Nantes1
PSG1
30.11.24L1
PSG1
Nantes1
17.02.24L1
Nantes0
PSG2
09.12.23L1
PSG2
Nantes1
04.03.23L1
PSG4
Nantes2
03.09.22L1
Nantes0
PSG3
31.07.22SC
PSG4
Nantes0
19.02.22L1
Nantes3
PSG1
20.11.21L1
PSG3
Nantes1
Recent Form
PSG
19.04.26L1
PSG1
Lyon2
L
14.04.26CL
Liverpool0
PSG2
W
08.04.26CL
PSG2
Liverpool0
W
03.04.26L1
PSG3
Toulouse1
W
21.03.26L1
Nice0
PSG4
W
17.03.26CL
Chelsea0
PSG3
W
11.03.26CL
PSG5
Chelsea2
W
06.03.26L1
PSG1
Monaco3
L
28.02.26L1
Le Havre0
PSG1
W
25.02.26CL
PSG2
Monaco2
D
Nantes
19.04.26L1
Nantes1
Brest1
D
11.04.26L1
Auxerre0
Nantes0
D
05.04.26L1
Metz0
Nantes0
D
22.03.26L1
Nantes2
Strasbourg3
L
07.03.26L1
Nantes0
Angers1
L
01.03.26L1
Lille1
Nantes0
L
22.02.26L1
Nantes2
Le Havre0
W
13.02.26L1
Monaco3
Nantes1
L
07.02.26L1
Nantes0
Lyon1
L
31.01.26L1
Lorient2
Nantes1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Ligue 1 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.19 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for PSG vs Nantes?
Our selection is 1 — PSG to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is PSG's current form?
PSG have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Nantes been performing recently?
Nantes have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
PSG lead with 7 wins versus Nantes's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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