WON
Result: Portuguesa U20 3-0 Itapirense U20
DirectWinPredict Brazil Paulista U20 Portuguesa U20 vs Itapirense U20
P

Portuguesa U20

Home Side
W L L W W
5W 2D 3L
VS
3-0
Brazil Paulista U20
I
Itapirense U20
Away Side
L L L W W
3W 1D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Portuguesa U20 to win — Thursday, 11th June 2026
Best Odds 1.29
Confidence 59%
Implied Prob 77.5%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
1
Portuguesa U20
0
Draws
0
Itapirense U20
1
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Portuguesa U20 won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Portuguesa U20
Metric
Itapirense U20
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.2
20%
Clean Sheet %
30%
5-2-3
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate Comparison
50%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
I0
I1
I2
I3
I4
I5
P0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 2.6%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
P1
1-0 10.2%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
P2
2-0 10.0%
2-1 10.0%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
P3
3-0 6.5%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
P4
4-0 3.2%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.2%) 2-0 (10.0%) 2-1 (10.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · P=Home goals ↓   I=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Portuguesa U20 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Itapirense U20 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Portuguesa U20
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
6.3
Itapirense U20
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.0
Defence
2.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
07.01.25CPH
Itapirense U200
Portuguesa U204
Recent Form
Portuguesa U20
05.06.26PAU
Jabaquara U201
Portuguesa U202
W
14.01.26CPH
Sao Paulo U202
Portuguesa U200
L
10.01.26CPH
Portuguesa U200
Operario PR U201
L
07.01.26CPH
Paulinia FU U201
Portuguesa U203
W
04.01.26CPH
Vila Nova FC U200
Portuguesa U201
W
13.09.25PAU
Portuguesa U201
Referencia U202
L
05.09.25PAU
Referencia U200
Portuguesa U200
D
12.08.25PAU
Portuguesa U202
Santo Andre U201
W
06.08.25PAU
Aracatuba FC U201
Portuguesa U206
W
27.07.25PAU
Portuguesa U202
Referencia U202
D
Itapirense U20
05.06.26PAU
Itapirense U200
Ferroviaria U202
L
12.09.25PAU
RB Bragantino U206
Itapirense U201
L
03.09.25PAU
Itapirense U201
RB Bragantino U203
L
12.08.25PAU
Sao Caetano U201
Itapirense U203
W
06.08.25PAU
Itapirense U201
Ponte Preta U200
W
25.07.25PAU
EC Sao Bernardo U205
Itapirense U201
L
18.07.25PAU
Itapirense U200
Mirassol U200
D
11.07.25PAU
Osasco Audax U204
Itapirense U201
L
04.07.25PAU
Itapirense U201
Aguai U200
W
25.06.25PAU
Inter de Limeira U201
Itapirense U200
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 11th June 2026, Portuguesa U20 host Itapirense U20 in Brazil Paulista U20. We recommend Portuguesa U20 to win as the standout selection.

Portuguesa U20 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Itapirense U20 are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Portuguesa U20, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Itapirense U20's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: portuguesa u20 to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Brazil Paulista U20 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.29 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Portuguesa U20 vs Itapirense U20?
Our selection is 1 — Portuguesa U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Portuguesa U20's current form?
Portuguesa U20 have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Itapirense U20 been performing recently?
Itapirense U20 have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Portuguesa U20 lead with 1 wins versus Itapirense U20's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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