WON
Result: Ulfstind 3-0 Floya
DirectWinPredict Norway Div 3 G5 Ulfstind vs Floya
U

Ulfstind

Home Side
L L L L L
1W 1D 8L
VS
3-0
Norway Div 3 G5
F
Floya
Away Side
L W W W W
6W 3D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Floya to win — Thursday, 11th June 2026
Best Odds 1.32
Confidence 53%
Implied Prob 75.8%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Floya to win
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes80%
Implied Prob
75.8%
Based on 1.32 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-22.8%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Ulfstind
1
Draws
2
Floya
4
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
75%
Over 2.5
4.8
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Floya won 2 of 4 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Ulfstind
Metric
Floya
1.7
Goals For / Game
2.5
2.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
0%
Clean Sheet %
10%
1-1-8
W — D — L
6-3-1
Win Rate Comparison
10%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
U0
0-0 1.4%
0-1 3.9%
0-2 5.2%
0-3 4.7%
0-4 3.2%
0-5 1.7%
U1
1-0 2.2%
1-1 6.0%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 7.3%
1-4 4.9%
1-5 2.6%
U2
2-0 1.7%
2-1 4.6%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 5.6%
2-4 3.8%
2-5 2.1%
U3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 2.4%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 2.9%
3-4 2.0%
3-5 1.1%
U4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.8%
4-5 0.4%
U5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (8.1%) 1-3 (7.3%) 2-3 (5.6%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · U=Home goals ↓   F=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Ulfstind Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Floya Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Ulfstind
Overall
1.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
0.3
Floya
Overall
6.9
Scoring
8.3
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Home Win & BTTS No 2%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 54%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 9%
Home Win & Under 2.5 2%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 54%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
02.10.25D3
Ulfstind4
Floya2
03.04.25D3
Floya2
Ulfstind0
20.10.24DIV
Ulfstind4
Floya4
28.04.24DIV
Floya3
Ulfstind0
Recent Form
Ulfstind
30.05.26DIV
Skjervoy2
Ulfstind0
L
25.05.26DIV
Ulfstind1
Finnsnes3
L
14.05.26DIV
Ulfstind1
Stromsgodset 23
L
09.05.26DIV
Bossekop2
Ulfstind1
L
02.05.26DIV
Ulfstind3
Kongsvinger 24
L
25.04.26DIV
Skjetten5
Ulfstind3
L
18.04.26DIV
Alta4
Ulfstind0
L
12.04.26DIV
Ulfstind5
Skedsmo2
W
06.04.26DIV
Fauske Sprint3
Ulfstind3
D
26.10.25D3
Skjervoy1
Ulfstind0
L
Floya
30.05.26DIV
Floya2
Skedsmo3
L
23.05.26DIV
Bossekop2
Floya5
W
14.05.26DIV
Floya3
Kongsvinger 21
W
09.05.26DIV
Skjetten1
Floya3
W
02.05.26DIV
Floya2
Harstad1
W
25.04.26DIV
Floya4
Skjervoy1
W
19.04.26DIV
Tromso 22
Floya3
W
11.04.26DIV
Floya0
Alta0
D
06.04.26DIV
Finnsnes2
Floya2
D
26.10.25D3
Floya1
Funnefoss/Vormsund1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 11th June 2026, Ulfstind host Floya in Norway Div 3 G5. We recommend Floya to win as the standout selection.

Ulfstind arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Floya are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 3D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Ulfstind, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Floya's 2, with 1 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: floya to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Norway Div 3 G5 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.32 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ulfstind vs Floya?
Our selection is 2 — Floya to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Ulfstind's current form?
Ulfstind have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches.
How has Floya been performing recently?
Floya have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ulfstind lead with 1 wins versus Floya's 2, with 1 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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