WON
Result: Man City W 1-0 Liverpool W
DirectWinPredict England WSL Man City W vs Liverpool W
M

Man City W

Home Side
L W W W D
7W 1D 2L
VS
1-0
England WSL
L
Liverpool W
Away Side
L W W D W
6W 1D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Man City W to win — Sunday, 3rd May 2026
Best Odds 1.15
Confidence 67%
Implied Prob 87%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
9
Man City W
0
Draws
1
Liverpool W
10
Meetings
80%
BTTS Rate
90%
Over 2.5
3.9
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Man City W won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Man City W
Metric
Liverpool W
2.8
Goals For / Game
1.5
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1
50%
Clean Sheet %
40%
7-1-2
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate Comparison
70%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
M0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 3.1%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
M1
1-0 9.0%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 6.0%
1-3 2.3%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
M2
2-0 8.6%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
M3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 6.2%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
M4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.8%) 1-0 (9.0%) 2-0 (8.6%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · M=Home goals ↓   L=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Man City W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Liverpool W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Man City W
Overall
7.3
Scoring
9.3
Defence
7.3
Liverpool W
Overall
6.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 24%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
12.10.25WSL
Liverpool W1
Manchester City2
16.02.25WSL
Manchester City W4
Liverpool0
13.10.24WSL
Liverpool W1
Manchester City2
07.09.24CF
Liverpool W1
Manchester City2
30.03.24WSL
Liverpool W1
Manchester City4
21.01.24WSL
Manchester City W5
Liverpool1
08.11.23CUP
Liverpool W3
Manchester City4
07.05.23WSL
Liverpool W2
Manchester City1
07.12.22CUP
Liverpool W0
Manchester City2
30.10.22WSL
Manchester City W2
Liverpool1
Recent Form
Man City W
25.04.26WSL
Brighton W3
Manchester City W2
L
06.04.26FAC
Birmingham W0
Manchester City W1
W
28.03.26WSL
Manchester Utd W0
Manchester City W3
W
21.03.26WSL
Manchester City W5
Tottenham W2
W
15.03.26WSL
Aston Villa W0
Manchester City W0
D
22.02.26FAC
Manchester City W4
Sheffield Utd W0
W
13.02.26WSL
Manchester City W6
Leicester W0
W
08.02.26WSL
Arsenal W1
Manchester City W0
L
01.02.26WSL
Manchester City W5
Chelsea W1
W
25.01.26WSL
London City Lionesses W1
Manchester City W2
W
Liverpool W
26.04.26WSL
Liverpool W0
West Ham W1
L
05.04.26FAC
Charlton W0
Liverpool W - W (aet)1
28.03.26WSL
Everton W2
Liverpool W3
W
22.03.26WSL
Brighton W0
Liverpool W0
D
15.03.26WSL
Liverpool W2
Leicester W0
W
22.02.26FAC
Liverpool W2
Everton W1
W
15.02.26WSL
Chelsea W2
Liverpool W0
L
08.02.26WSL
Liverpool W4
Aston Villa W1
W
01.02.26WSL
Manchester Utd W3
Liverpool W1
L
25.01.26WSL
Liverpool W2
Tottenham W0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Sunday, 3rd May 2026, Man City W host Liverpool W in England WSL. We recommend Man City W to win as the standout selection.

Man City W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Liverpool W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Man City W, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Liverpool W's 1, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: man city w to win at odds of 1.15 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this England WSL game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.15 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Man City W vs Liverpool W?
Our selection is 1 — Man City W to win, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Man City W's current form?
Man City W have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Liverpool W been performing recently?
Liverpool W have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Man City W lead with 9 wins versus Liverpool W's 1, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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