PENDING
Result: 1 — Honka to win
DirectWinPredict Finland Kakkonen B Honka vs HJS
H

Honka

Home Side
W W W L W
9W 0D 1L
VS
4:30 pm
Finland Kakkonen B
H
HJS
Away Side
L W D L D
3W 3D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Honka to win — Monday, 13th July 2026
Best Odds 1.16
Confidence 74%
Implied Prob 86.2%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Honka to win
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
86.2%
Based on 1.16 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-12.2%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
4
Honka
1
Draws
0
HJS
5
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.6
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Honka won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Honka
Metric
HJS
3.3
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.6
30%
Clean Sheet %
30%
9-0-1
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate Comparison
90%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
H0
0-0 2.5%
0-1 3.1%
0-2 1.9%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
H1
1-0 6.1%
1-1 7.6%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.2%
H2
2-0 7.4%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 2.4%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
H3
3-0 6.1%
3-1 7.6%
3-2 4.7%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
H4
4-0 3.7%
4-1 4.6%
4-2 2.9%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 1.8%
5-1 2.3%
5-2 1.4%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.3%) 3-1 (7.6%) 2-0 (7.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · H=Home goals ↓   H=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Honka Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
HJS Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Honka
Overall
9.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
5.7
HJS
Overall
3.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 44%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
02.05.26KAK
HJS0
Honka2
04.10.25KAK
Honka2
HJS0
27.09.25KAK
HJS2
Honka3
03.08.24KAK
HJS0
Honka0
29.05.24KAK
Honka3
HJS1
Recent Form
Honka
04.07.26KAK
Honka7
MuSa1
W
26.06.26KAK
Abo0
Honka1
W
13.06.26KAK
P-Iirot Rauma1
Honka5
W
09.06.26CUP
Honka1
HJK7
L
06.06.26KAK
Honka4
EBK1
W
29.05.26KAK
NJS0
Honka2
W
26.05.26CUP
Honka5
VJS1
W
22.05.26KAK
Honka2
EPS1
W
16.05.26KAK
GrIFK1
Honka5
W
13.05.26CUP
KuPS Akatemia0
Honka1
W
HJS
04.07.26KAK
P-Iirot Rauma3
HJS0
L
27.06.26KAK
HJS3
NJS0
W
12.06.26KAK
GrIFK2
HJS2
D
06.06.26KAK
HJS1
EPS3
L
29.05.26KAK
Ilves 20
HJS0
D
23.05.26KAK
HJS1
Abo1
D
17.05.26KAK
EBK2
HJS3
W
13.05.26CUP
TPS3
HJS0
L
09.05.26KAK
MuSa0
HJS2
W
02.05.26KAK
HJS0
Honka2
L
Honka (Home)
04.07.26KAK
Honka7
MuSa1
W
09.06.26CUP
Honka1
HJK7
L
06.06.26KAK
Honka4
EBK1
W
26.05.26CUP
Honka5
VJS1
W
22.05.26KAK
Honka2
EPS1
W
08.05.26KAK
Honka2
Ilves 22
D
18.04.26KAK
Honka1
Abo1
D
14.02.26CF
Honka4
HIFK1
W
24.01.26CF
Honka2
KaPa3
L
19.10.25KAK
Honka2
VJS1
W
HJS (Away)
04.07.26KAK
P-Iirot Rauma3
HJS0
L
12.06.26KAK
GrIFK2
HJS2
D
29.05.26KAK
Ilves 20
HJS0
D
17.05.26KAK
EBK2
HJS3
W
13.05.26CUP
TPS3
HJS0
L
09.05.26KAK
MuSa0
HJS2
W
29.04.26CUP
PPJ0
HJS1
W
17.04.26KAK
NJS2
HJS4
W
11.04.26CUP
Ylojarvi0
HJS7
W
07.03.26CF
Lahden Reipas4
HJS3
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 13th July 2026, Honka host HJS at Leppavaara stadium (Espoo) in Finland Kakkonen B. We recommend Honka to win as the standout selection.

Honka arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

HJS are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Honka, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to HJS's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: honka to win at odds of 1.16 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Finland Kakkonen B preview lives.

The home team strides in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Leppavaara stadium (Espoo), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.16, which the numbers settle at around 60,20,20%. The whistle goes at 4:30 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Honka vs HJS?
Our selection is 1 — Honka to win, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is Honka's current form?
Honka have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has HJS been performing recently?
HJS have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Honka lead with 4 wins versus HJS's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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