PENDING
Result: Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
DirectWinPredict Paraguay Division Intermedia Dep Capiata vs Atl Tembetary
D

Dep Capiata

Home Side
D W D W L
4W 4D 2L
VS
11:30 pm
Paraguay Division Intermedia
A
Atl Tembetary
Away Side
D L D W L
3W 3D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals — Monday, 13th July 2026
Best Odds 1.31
Confidence 78%
Implied Prob 76.3%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.31
Under 2.5 Goals65%
Implied Prob
76.3%
Based on 1.31 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+1.7%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
7%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Dep Capiata
0
Draws
1
Atl Tembetary
1
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
0%
Over 2.5
2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Dep Capiata
Metric
Atl Tembetary
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.4
20%
Clean Sheet %
20%
4-4-2
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate Comparison
40%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
D0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 8.9%
0-2 5.4%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
D1
1-0 10.4%
1-1 12.5%
1-2 7.5%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
D2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
D3
3-0 3.4%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
D4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (12.5%) 1-0 (10.4%) 0-1 (8.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · D=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Dep Capiata
Overall
5.2
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.3
Atl Tembetary
Overall
3.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 20%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 21%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
09.08.22COP
Atl. Tembetary2
Dep. Capiata0
Recent Form
Dep Capiata
06.07.26DI
Benjamin Aceval1
Dep. Capiata1
D
27.06.26DI
Dep. Capiata5
Sp. Carapegua2
W
06.06.26DI
12 de Junio1
Dep. Capiata1
D
31.05.26DI
Dep. Capiata1
Encarnacion FC0
W
23.05.26DI
Deportivo Santani1
Dep. Capiata0
L
19.05.26DI
Dep. Capiata2
Fernando de la Mora1
W
14.05.26DI
3 de Noviembre0
Dep. Capiata0
D
10.05.26DI
Dep. Capiata2
General Caballero JLM1
W
01.05.26DI
Guairena3
Dep. Capiata1
L
25.04.26DI
Dep. Capiata1
Resistencia1
D
Atl Tembetary
07.07.26DI
Atl. Tembetary2
Independiente FBC2
D
27.06.26DI
Tacuary4
Atl. Tembetary2
L
04.06.26DI
Paraguari AC1
Atl. Tembetary1
D
30.05.26DI
Atl. Tembetary4
Benjamin Aceval3
W
25.05.26DI
Sp. Carapegua1
Atl. Tembetary0
L
20.05.26DI
Atl. Tembetary0
12 de Junio1
L
16.05.26DI
Encarnacion FC0
Atl. Tembetary2
W
11.05.26DI
Atl. Tembetary1
Deportivo Santani1
D
04.05.26DI
Fernando de la Mora1
Atl. Tembetary0
L
27.04.26DI
Atl. Tembetary1
3 de Noviembre0
W
Dep Capiata (Home)
27.06.26DI
Dep. Capiata5
Sp. Carapegua2
W
31.05.26DI
Dep. Capiata1
Encarnacion FC0
W
19.05.26DI
Dep. Capiata2
Fernando de la Mora1
W
10.05.26DI
Dep. Capiata2
General Caballero JLM1
W
25.04.26DI
Dep. Capiata1
Resistencia1
D
13.04.26DI
Dep. Capiata3
Paraguari AC1
W
04.04.26DI
Dep. Capiata2
Independiente FBC2
D
29.09.25DI
Dep. Capiata1
Independiente FBC2
L
14.09.25DI
Dep. Capiata2
Fernando de la Mora1
W
30.08.25DI
Dep. Capiata1
12 de Junio0
W
Atl Tembetary (Away)
27.06.26DI
Tacuary4
Atl. Tembetary2
L
04.06.26DI
Paraguari AC1
Atl. Tembetary1
D
25.05.26DI
Sp. Carapegua1
Atl. Tembetary0
L
16.05.26DI
Encarnacion FC0
Atl. Tembetary2
W
04.05.26DI
Fernando de la Mora1
Atl. Tembetary0
L
19.04.26DI
General Caballero JLM2
Atl. Tembetary1
L
05.04.26DI
Resistencia1
Atl. Tembetary3
W
20.11.25PD
Sportivo Trinidense1
Atl. Tembetary1
D
01.11.25PD
2 de Mayo0
Atl. Tembetary1
W
16.10.25PD
General Caballero JLM1
Atl. Tembetary1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 13th July 2026, Dep Capiata host Atl Tembetary at N/A in Paraguay Division Intermedia. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Dep Capiata arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Atl Tembetary are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dep Capiata, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Atl Tembetary's 1, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Paraguay Division Intermedia preview lives.

The home team strides in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at N/A, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 1.5, priced at @1.31, which the numbers settle at around 80%. The whistle goes at 11:30 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dep Capiata vs Atl Tembetary?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 78%.
What is Dep Capiata's current form?
Dep Capiata have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Atl Tembetary been performing recently?
Atl Tembetary have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dep Capiata lead with 0 wins versus Atl Tembetary's 1, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.