PENDING
Result: 1 — Guangdong GZ-Power to win
DirectWinPredict China League One Guangdong GZ-Power vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu
G

Guangdong GZ-Power

Home Side
D W L W D
5W 3D 2L
VS
12:30 pm
China League One
S
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Away Side
L W L D D
1W 4D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Guangdong GZ-Power to win — Saturday, 11th July 2026
Best Odds 1.31
Confidence 59%
Implied Prob 76.3%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
2
Guangdong GZ-Power
0
Draws
0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Guangdong GZ-Power won 2 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Guangdong GZ-Power
Metric
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.4
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheet %
30%
5-3-2
W — D — L
1-4-5
Win Rate Comparison
50%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
G0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 8.1%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
G1
1-0 14.3%
1-1 12.2%
1-2 5.2%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
G2
2-0 10.7%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
G3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
G4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
G5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.3%) 2-0 (10.7%) 2-1 (9.1%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · G=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Guangdong GZ-Power Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Shijiazhuang Gongfu Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Guangdong GZ-Power
Overall
5.9
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.7
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Overall
2.2
Scoring
1.3
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 20%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 19%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
13.09.25L1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
04.05.25L1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Recent Form
Guangdong GZ-Power
04.07.26L1
Suzhou Dongwu2
Guangdong GZ-Power2
D
27.06.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Shaanxi Union1
W
19.06.26FAC
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Beijing Guoan2
L
13.06.26L1
Dingnan Ganlian1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
W
29.05.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power0
Shenzhen Juniors0
D
24.05.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Yanbian Longding4
L
17.05.26FAC
Wuhan Lianzhen0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
W
10.05.26L1
Dalian K’un City1
Guangdong GZ-Power1
D
02.05.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Nantong Zhiyun1
W
26.04.26L1
Changchun Yatai1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
W
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
04.07.26L1
Ningbo Professional2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
L
27.06.26L1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu2
Nanjing City1
W
20.06.26FAC
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Shanghai Shenhua2
L
14.06.26L1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
Suzhou Dongwu1
D
30.05.26L1
Dalian K’un City0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
D
24.05.26L1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Meizhou Hakka1
L
17.05.26FAC
Guizhou Xufengtang0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu (Pen 2 - 4)0
W
10.05.26L1
Shenzhen Juniors2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
L
02.05.26L1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Guangxi Hengchen3
L
26.04.26L1
Wuxi Wugou0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
D
Guangdong GZ-Power (Home)
27.06.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Shaanxi Union1
W
19.06.26FAC
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Beijing Guoan2
L
29.05.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power0
Shenzhen Juniors0
D
24.05.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Yanbian Longding4
L
02.05.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Nantong Zhiyun1
W
19.04.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Meizhou Hakka0
W
11.04.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Wuxi Wugou0
W
14.03.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Ningbo Professional0
W
08.11.25L1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Nantong Zhiyun1
W
26.10.25L1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Shaanxi Union2
D
Shijiazhuang Gongfu (Away)
04.07.26L1
Ningbo Professional2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
L
30.05.26L1
Dalian K’un City0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
D
17.05.26FAC
Guizhou Xufengtang0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu (Pen 2 - 4)0
W
10.05.26L1
Shenzhen Juniors2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
L
26.04.26L1
Wuxi Wugou0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
D
05.04.26L1
Shaanxi Union1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
L
14.03.26L1
Nantong Zhiyun2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
L
01.11.25L1
Foshan Nanshi0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
D
26.10.25L1
Chongqing Tonglianglong0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
D
05.10.25L1
Nanjing City1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu3
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 11th July 2026, Guangdong GZ-Power host Shijiazhuang Gongfu at Huangpu Sports Center (Guangzhou) in China League One. We recommend Guangdong GZ-Power to win as the standout selection.

Guangdong GZ-Power arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 4D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Guangdong GZ-Power, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Shijiazhuang Gongfu's 0, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: guangdong gz-power to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this China League One preview lives.

The home team strides in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Huangpu Sports Center (Guangzhou), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.31, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 12:30 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Guangdong GZ-Power vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu?
Our selection is 1 — Guangdong GZ-Power to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Guangdong GZ-Power's current form?
Guangdong GZ-Power have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Shijiazhuang Gongfu been performing recently?
Shijiazhuang Gongfu have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Guangdong GZ-Power lead with 2 wins versus Shijiazhuang Gongfu's 0, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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