WON
Result: Grebbestad 4-3 Vanersborgs IF
DirectWinPredict Swe Div 2 Norra Gotaland Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs IF
G

Grebbestad

Home Side
W L W W W
6W 0D 4L
VS
4-3
Swe Div 2 Norra Gotaland
V
Vanersborgs IF
Away Side
D L L L L
1W 1D 8L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Grebbestad to win — Thursday, 18th June 2026
Best Odds 1.46
Confidence 51%
Implied Prob 68.5%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Grebbestad to win
1.46
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals95%
Implied Prob
68.5%
Based on 1.46 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-17.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
4
Grebbestad
2
Draws
3
Vanersborgs IF
9
Meetings
56%
BTTS Rate
67%
Over 2.5
3
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Grebbestad won 4 of the last 9 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Grebbestad
Metric
Vanersborgs IF
2
Goals For / Game
0.8
1.3
Goals Against / Game
3
30%
Clean Sheet %
0%
6-0-4
W — D — L
1-1-8
Win Rate Comparison
60%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
G0
0-0 2.9%
0-1 3.0%
0-2 1.6%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
G1
1-0 7.2%
1-1 7.5%
1-2 4.0%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
G2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
G3
3-0 7.5%
3-1 7.9%
3-2 4.1%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
G4
4-0 4.7%
4-1 4.9%
4-2 2.6%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
G5
5-0 2.3%
5-1 2.5%
5-2 1.3%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.4%) 2-0 (9.0%) 3-1 (7.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · G=Home goals ↓   V=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Grebbestad Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Vanersborgs IF Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Grebbestad
Overall
6.0
Scoring
6.7
Defence
5.7
Vanersborgs IF
Overall
1.3
Scoring
2.7
Defence
0.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 44%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 64%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 3%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
16.08.25DIV
Vanersborgs IF1
Grebbestad1
23.05.25DIV
Grebbestad3
Vanersborgs IF0
04.10.24DIV
Vanersborgs IF2
Grebbestad0
20.06.24DIV
Grebbestad4
Vanersborgs IF0
14.08.20DIV
Grebbestad1
Vanersborgs IF4
28.09.19DIV
Vanersborgs IF1
Grebbestad3
20.06.19DIV
Grebbestad0
Vanersborgs IF0
08.09.17DIV
Vanersborgs IF2
Grebbestad1
24.05.17DIV
Grebbestad3
Vanersborgs IF1
Recent Form
Grebbestad
12.06.26DIV
IFK Skovde0
Grebbestad4
W
05.06.26DIV
Grebbestad1
Husqvarna2
L
29.05.26DIV
Vanersborgs FK2
Grebbestad3
W
23.05.26DIV
Grebbestad2
Motala0
W
14.05.26DIV
Lidkoping1
Grebbestad3
W
09.05.26DIV
Grebbestad0
Ahlafors IF2
L
01.05.26DIV
Skara3
Grebbestad1
L
25.04.26DIV
Grebbestad3
Tord0
W
18.04.26DIV
Grebbestad2
Herrestads AIF1
W
10.04.26DIV
Stenungsunds2
Grebbestad1
L
Vanersborgs IF
15.06.26DIV
Vanersborgs IF2
Herrestads AIF2
D
04.06.26DIV
Stenungsunds5
Vanersborgs IF0
L
31.05.26DIV
Motala2
Vanersborgs IF0
L
22.05.26DIV
Vanersborgs IF0
Husqvarna4
L
15.05.26DIV
IFK Skovde6
Vanersborgs IF2
L
08.05.26DIV
Vanersborgs IF0
Lidkoping1
L
01.05.26DIV
Vanersborgs FK1
Vanersborgs IF2
W
24.04.26DIV
Vanersborgs IF1
Skara2
L
18.04.26DIV
Ahlafors IF3
Vanersborgs IF0
L
11.04.26DIV
Vanersborgs IF1
Karlstad II4
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 18th June 2026, Grebbestad host Vanersborgs IF in Swe Div 2 Norra Gotaland. We recommend Grebbestad to win as the standout selection.

Grebbestad arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Vanersborgs IF are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 1D 8L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Grebbestad, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Vanersborgs IF's 3, with 2 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 56% of those meetings.

Our verdict: grebbestad to win at odds of 1.46 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Swe Div 2 Norra Gotaland game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.46 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs IF?
Our selection is 1 — Grebbestad to win, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Grebbestad's current form?
Grebbestad have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Vanersborgs IF been performing recently?
Vanersborgs IF have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Grebbestad lead with 4 wins versus Vanersborgs IF's 3, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 56%.
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