PENDING

Result: 1 — AC Oulu to win

AC Oulu

Home Side

D W W W L

5W 1D 4L

—

Finland Veikkausliiga

Mariehamn

Away Side

L L L L D

2W 2D 6L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing AC Oulu to win — Thursday, 18th June 2026

Best Odds 1.30

Confidence 50%

Implied Prob 76.9%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — AC Oulu to win

1.30

BTTS — No65%

Implied Prob

76.9%

Based on 1.30 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-26.9%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

AC Oulu

Draws

Mariehamn

Meetings

70%

BTTS Rate

60%

Over 2.5

3.1

Avg Goals

Neutral Data AC Oulu won 5 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

AC Oulu

Metric

Mariehamn

1.1

Goals For / Game

0.7

0.9

Goals Against / Game

1.3

50%

Clean Sheet %

10%

5-1-4

W — D — L

2-2-6

Win Rate Comparison

50%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 13.5%

0-1 10.8%

0-2 4.3%

0-3 1.2%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 16.2%

1-1 13.0%

1-2 5.2%

1-3 1.4%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 9.7%

2-1 7.8%

2-2 3.1%

2-3 0.8%

2-4 0.2%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 3.9%

3-1 3.1%

3-2 1.3%

3-3 0.3%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 1.2%

4-1 0.9%

4-2 0.4%

4-3 0.1%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.3%

5-1 0.2%

5-2 0.1%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (16.2%) 2-0 (9.7%) 2-1 (7.8%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ M=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

AC Oulu Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Mariehamn Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

AC Oulu

Overall

5.3 ▼

Scoring

3.7 ▼

Defence

7.0 ▼

Mariehamn

Overall

2.6 ▲

Scoring

2.3 ▲

Defence

5.7 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%

Home Win & BTTS No 38%

Draw & BTTS Yes 6%

Draw & BTTS No 12%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%

Away Win & BTTS No 15%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 24%

Home Win & Under 2.5 35%

Draw & Over 2.5 7%

Draw & Under 2.5 11%

Away Win & Over 2.5 9%

Away Win & Under 2.5 14%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

18.10.25VEI

Mariehamn2

AC Oulu0

26.07.25VEI

Mariehamn0

AC Oulu1

17.05.25VEI

AC Oulu0

Mariehamn1

19.10.24VEI

AC Oulu1

Mariehamn2

01.09.24VEI

Mariehamn2

AC Oulu1

17.05.24VEI

AC Oulu1

Mariehamn1

16.09.23VEI

AC Oulu3

Mariehamn2

09.07.23VEI

Mariehamn1

AC Oulu2

03.06.23VEI

AC Oulu3

Mariehamn2

28.09.22VEI

Mariehamn2

AC Oulu4

Recent Form

AC Oulu

13.06.26VEI

Inter Turku0

AC Oulu0

31.05.26VEI

AC Oulu2

Jaro1

23.05.26VEI

SJK0

AC Oulu1

16.05.26VEI

AC Oulu1

TPS0

08.05.26VEI

Ilves1

AC Oulu0

02.05.26VEI

AC Oulu2

KuPS0

25.04.26VEI

Lahti2

AC Oulu1

22.04.26VEI

KuPS3

AC Oulu2

18.04.26VEI

AC Oulu1

VPS0

15.04.26CUP

AC Oulu1

Jaro2

Mariehamn

13.06.26VEI

Mariehamn0

Gnistan3

30.05.26VEI

HJK1

Mariehamn0

26.05.26CUP

Mariehamn0

Lahti1

23.05.26VEI

Jaro3

Mariehamn0

16.05.26VEI

Mariehamn1

KuPS1

13.05.26CUP

Mariehamn3

PuiU0

10.05.26VEI

Lahti1

Mariehamn1

02.05.26VEI

Mariehamn0

VPS1

28.04.26CUP

HPS1

Mariehamn2

25.04.26VEI

Inter Turku1

Mariehamn0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 18th June 2026, AC Oulu host Mariehamn in Finland Veikkausliiga. We recommend AC Oulu to win as the standout selection.

AC Oulu arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Mariehamn are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour AC Oulu, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Mariehamn's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ac oulu to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Finland Veikkausliiga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.30 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for AC Oulu vs Mariehamn?

Our selection is 1 — AC Oulu to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 50%.

What is AC Oulu's current form?

AC Oulu have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.

How has Mariehamn been performing recently?

Mariehamn have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

AC Oulu lead with 5 wins versus Mariehamn's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.

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