WON

Result: Gonio 1-0 Loco. Tbilisi

Gonio

Home Side

W W L L L

5W 0D 5L

1-0

Georgia Liga 3

Loco. Tbilisi

Away Side

L L L W W

3W 0D 7L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Gonio to win — Wednesday, 25th March 2026

Best Odds 1.51

Confidence 50%

Implied Prob 66.2%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Gonio to win

1.51

Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals80%

Implied Prob

66.2%

Based on 1.51 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-16.2%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Gonio

Draws

Loco. Tbilisi

Meetings

100%

BTTS Rate

50%

Over 2.5

2.5

Avg Goals

Neutral Data Gonio won 2 of the last 4 meetings (2 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Gonio

Metric

Loco. Tbilisi

1.5

Goals For / Game

1.5

1.7

Goals Against / Game

2.9

30%

Clean Sheet %

10%

5-0-5

W — D — L

3-0-7

Win Rate Comparison

50%

30%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 2.2%

0-1 3.6%

0-2 2.9%

0-3 1.5%

0-4 0.6%

0-5 0.2%

1-0 4.9%

1-1 7.9%

1-2 6.3%

1-3 3.4%

1-4 1.3%

1-5 0.4%

2-0 5.4%

2-1 8.7%

2-2 6.9%

2-3 3.7%

2-4 1.5%

2-5 0.5%

3-0 4.0%

3-1 6.4%

3-2 5.1%

3-3 2.7%

3-4 1.1%

3-5 0.4%

4-0 2.2%

4-1 3.5%

4-2 2.8%

4-3 1.5%

4-4 0.6%

4-5 0.2%

5-0 1.0%

5-1 1.5%

5-2 1.2%

5-3 0.7%

5-4 0.3%

5-5 0.1%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.7%) 3-1 (6.4%) 2-0 (5.4%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · G=Home goals ↓ L=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Gonio Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Loco. Tbilisi Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Gonio

Overall

5.0 ▲

Scoring

5.0 ▲

Defence

4.3 ▲

Loco. Tbilisi

Overall

3.0 —

Scoring

5.0 —

Defence

0.3 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%

Home Win & BTTS No 25%

Draw & BTTS Yes 0%

Draw & BTTS No 0%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%

Away Win & BTTS No 15%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 47%

Home Win & Under 2.5 16%

Draw & Over 2.5 0%

Draw & Under 2.5 0%

Away Win & Over 2.5 28%

Away Win & Under 2.5 9%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

17.10.25

EL2: FC Gonio2

Lokomotivi Tbilisi1

18.08.25

EL2: Lokomotivi Tbilisi1

FC Gonio1

02.05.25

EL2: FC Gonio2

Lokomotivi Tbilisi1

08.03.25

EL2: Lokomotivi Tbilisi1

FC Gonio1

Recent Form

Gonio

12.03.26

LI3: Iveria Khashuri0

FC Gonio1

05.03.26

LI3: FC Gonio3

Iberia 20101

06.12.25

EL2: Bolnisi5

FC Gonio0

29.11.25

EL2: FC Gonio0

Rustavi4

25.11.25

EL2: Samtredia3

FC Gonio2

21.11.25

EL2: FC Gonio4

Merani Martvili0

08.11.25

EL2: Meshakhte Tkibuli1

FC Gonio0

01.11.25

EL2: FC Gonio2

Iberia 1999 20

26.10.25

EL2: FC Gonio1

Dinamo Tbilisi 22

21.10.25

EL2: Spaeri1

FC Gonio2

Loco. Tbilisi

12.03.26

LI3: Lokomotivi Tbilisi1

Iberia 1999 24

05.03.26

LI3: Lokomotivi Tbilisi1

Guria4

15.12.25

EL2: Lokomotivi Tbilisi0

Dusheti1

11.12.25

EL2: Dusheti2

Lokomotivi Tbilisi3

06.12.25

EL2: Lokomotivi Tbilisi5

Dinamo Tbilisi 21

29.11.25

EL2: Spaeri2

Lokomotivi Tbilisi3

25.11.25

EL2: Iberia 1999 22

Lokomotivi Tbilisi1

21.11.25

EL2: Lokomotivi Tbilisi3

Bolnisi4

08.11.25

EL2: Rustavi5

Lokomotivi Tbilisi1

03.11.25

EL2: Lokomotivi Tbilisi1

Samtredia0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 25th March 2026, Gonio host Loco. Tbilisi in Georgia Liga 3. We recommend Gonio to win as the standout selection.

Gonio arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Loco. Tbilisi are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 0D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Gonio, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Loco. Tbilisi's 0, with 2 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: gonio to win at odds of 1.51 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Georgia Liga 3 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.51 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Gonio vs Loco. Tbilisi?

Our selection is 1 — Gonio to win, priced at approximately 1.51. Tip confidence rating: 50%.

What is Gonio's current form?

Gonio have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.

How has Loco. Tbilisi been performing recently?

Loco. Tbilisi have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Gonio lead with 2 wins versus Loco. Tbilisi's 0, with 2 draws across 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.

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