PENDING
Result: 2 — Spain U19 W to win
DirectWinPredict Euro U19 Women Germany U19 W vs Spain U19 W
G

Germany U19 W

Home Side
W W D W W
8W 1D 1L
VS
5:00 pm
Euro U19 Women
S
Spain U19 W
Away Side
W W W D D
8W 2D 0L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Spain U19 W to win — Friday, 10th July 2026
Best Odds 1.37
Confidence 58%
Implied Prob 73%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Spain U19 W to win
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — No70% Germany U19 W Clean Sheet60% Spain U19 W Clean Sheet70%
Implied Prob
73%
Based on 1.37 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-15%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
4
Germany U19 W
1
Draws
4
Spain U19 W
9
Meetings
11%
BTTS Rate
22%
Over 2.5
1.8
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Spain U19 W won 4 of 9 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Germany U19 W
Metric
Spain U19 W
2
Goals For / Game
3.5
0.6
Goals Against / Game
0.4
60%
Clean Sheet %
70%
8-1-1
W — D — L
8-2-0
Win Rate Comparison
80%
80%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
G0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 8.0%
0-2 8.2%
0-3 5.6%
0-4 2.9%
0-5 1.2%
G1
1-0 4.7%
1-1 9.5%
1-2 9.8%
1-3 6.7%
1-4 3.4%
1-5 1.4%
G2
2-0 2.8%
2-1 5.7%
2-2 5.9%
2-3 4.0%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.8%
G3
3-0 1.1%
3-1 2.3%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
G4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.7%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
G5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (9.8%) 0-2 (8.2%) 0-1 (8.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · G=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Germany U19 W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Spain U19 W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Germany U19 W
Overall
8.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
8.0
Spain U19 W
Overall
8.6
Scoring
10.0
Defence
8.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 32%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
02.12.25EUR
Germany U19 W0
Spain U195
21.07.24EUR
Germany U19 W0
Spain U192
22.07.19EUR
Germany U19 W0
Spain U190
30.07.18EUR
Germany U19 W0
Spain U191
11.08.17EUR
Germany U19 W2
Spain U190
19.07.16EUR
Spain U19 W1
Germany U190
21.07.15EUR
Germany U19 W1
Spain U190
04.04.13EUR
Germany U19 W2
Spain U191
02.06.11EUR
Germany U19 W1
Spain U190
Recent Form
Germany U19 W
07.07.26AET EUR
Germany U19 W1
Austria U19 W0
W
03.07.26EUR
Germany U19 W2
Sweden U19 W0
W
30.06.26EUR
Poland U19 W1
Germany U19 W1
D
27.06.26EUR
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W0
Germany U19 W5
W
09.06.26FI
Germany U19 W1
USA U19 W0
W
05.06.26FI
Germany U19 W0
USA U19 W2
L
16.04.26EUR
Germany U19 W2
France U19 W1
W
13.04.26EUR
Germany U19 W4
Slovakia U19 W2
W
10.04.26EUR
Ireland U19 W0
Germany U19 W3
W
06.03.26FI
Italy U19 W0
Germany U19 W1
W
Spain U19 W
07.07.26EUR
Spain U19 W3
Sweden U19 W0
W
04.07.26EUR
Spain U19 W2
Austria U19 W1
W
01.07.26EUR
Spain U19 W4
Iceland U19 W0
W
28.06.26EUR
Switzerland U19 W2
Spain U19 W2
D
18.04.26EUR
Portugal U19 W0
Spain U19 W0
D
15.04.26EUR
Spain U19 W3
Northern Ireland U19 W0
W
12.04.26EUR
Spain U19 W3
Hungary U19 W0
W
02.12.25EUR
Germany U19 W0
Spain U19 W5
W
29.11.25EUR
Spain U19 W5
Belgium U19 W1
W
26.11.25EUR
Spain U19 W8
Faroe Islands U19 W0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 10th July 2026, Germany U19 W host Spain U19 W at Stadion Grbavica (Sarajevo) in Euro U19 Women. We recommend Spain U19 W to win as the standout selection.

Germany U19 W arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Spain U19 W are travelling well, with a record of 8W 2D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Germany U19 W, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Spain U19 W's 4, with 1 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 11% of those meetings.

Our verdict: spain u19 w to win at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Euro U19 Women preview lives.

The home team strides in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Stadion Grbavica (Sarajevo), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 2, priced at @1.37, which the numbers settle at around 20,30,50%. The whistle goes at 5:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Germany U19 W vs Spain U19 W?
Our selection is 2 — Spain U19 W to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Germany U19 W's current form?
Germany U19 W have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Spain U19 W been performing recently?
Spain U19 W have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Germany U19 W lead with 4 wins versus Spain U19 W's 4, with 1 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 11%.
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