PENDING
Result: 1 — Cork City to win
DirectWinPredict Ireland Division 1 Cork City vs Longford
C

Cork City

Home Side
W W W W W
9W 0D 1L
VS
7:45 pm
Ireland Division 1
L
Longford
Away Side
W L L W W
4W 2D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Cork City to win — Friday, 10th July 2026
Best Odds 1.29
Confidence 68%
Implied Prob 77.5%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Cork City to win
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals85% Cork City Clean Sheet80%
Implied Prob
77.5%
Based on 1.29 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-9.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
8
Cork City
2
Draws
0
Longford
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
3.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Cork City won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Cork City
Metric
Longford
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.5
0.2
Goals Against / Game
1.8
80%
Clean Sheet %
0%
9-0-1
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate Comparison
90%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
C0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 4.9%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 11.6%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 4.2%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
C2
2-0 11.6%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 4.2%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 7.7%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 3.9%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.6%) 2-0 (11.6%) 2-1 (9.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓   L=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Cork City Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Longford Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Cork City
Overall
9.0
Scoring
7.3
Defence
9.3
Longford
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
16.05.26DIV
Longford0
Cork City2
13.03.26DIV
Cork City2
Longford1
30.08.24DIV
Cork City3
Longford2
07.06.24DIV
Cork City2
Longford0
20.04.24DIV
Longford1
Cork City4
09.03.24DIV
Longford0
Cork City2
17.01.23CF
Longford0
Cork City2
02.09.22DIV
Cork City2
Longford2
18.06.22DIV
Longford1
Cork City1
29.04.22DIV
Cork City4
Longford1
Recent Form
Cork City
03.07.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers0
Cork City1
W
26.06.26DIV
Cork City2
Bray0
W
19.06.26DIV
Cork City4
Treaty United0
W
12.06.26DIV
Wexford0
Cork City2
W
29.05.26DIV
Cork City4
Finn Harps0
W
25.05.26DIV
Treaty United0
Cork City1
W
22.05.26DIV
Athlone0
Cork City3
W
16.05.26DIV
Longford0
Cork City2
W
08.05.26DIV
Cork City3
UC Dublin1
W
04.05.26DIV
Kerry1
Cork City0
L
Longford
04.07.26DIV
Longford2
UC Dublin1
W
26.06.26DIV
Kerry2
Longford1
L
19.06.26DIV
Bray5
Longford2
L
13.06.26DIV
Longford2
Cobh Ramblers1
W
29.05.26DIV
Longford3
Treaty United1
W
22.05.26DIV
Finn Harps2
Longford2
D
16.05.26DIV
Longford0
Cork City2
L
08.05.26DIV
Wexford1
Longford2
W
04.05.26DIV
Longford1
Athlone1
D
01.05.26DIV
UC Dublin2
Longford0
L
Cork City (Home)
26.06.26DIV
Cork City2
Bray0
W
19.06.26DIV
Cork City4
Treaty United0
W
29.05.26DIV
Cork City4
Finn Harps0
W
08.05.26DIV
Cork City3
UC Dublin1
W
01.05.26DIV
Cork City0
Cobh Ramblers1
L
17.04.26DIV
Cork City2
Wexford1
W
06.04.26DIV
Cork City4
Kerry2
W
27.03.26DIV
Cork City4
Athlone1
W
13.03.26DIV
Cork City2
Longford1
W
27.02.26DIV
Cork City1
Bray0
W
Longford (Away)
26.06.26DIV
Kerry2
Longford1
L
19.06.26DIV
Bray5
Longford2
L
22.05.26DIV
Finn Harps2
Longford2
D
08.05.26DIV
Wexford1
Longford2
W
01.05.26DIV
UC Dublin2
Longford0
L
17.04.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers0
Longford0
D
06.04.26DIV
Athlone2
Longford0
L
03.04.26DIV
Treaty United0
Longford0
D
13.03.26DIV
Cork City2
Longford1
L
27.02.26DIV
Kerry1
Longford1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 10th July 2026, Cork City host Longford at N/A in Ireland Division 1. We recommend Cork City to win as the standout selection.

Cork City arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Longford are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cork City, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Longford's 0, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cork city to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Ireland Division 1 preview lives.

The home team strides in on 5 wins from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at N/A, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.29, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 7:45 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cork City vs Longford?
Our selection is 1 — Cork City to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Cork City's current form?
Cork City have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Longford been performing recently?
Longford have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cork City lead with 8 wins versus Longford's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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