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Result: Gateshead 3-1 York City
DirectWinPredict National League Gateshead vs York City
G

Gateshead

Home Side
L W D D W
5W 3D 2L
VS
3-1
National League
Y
York City
Away Side
W W W L W
9W 0D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing York City to win — Tuesday, 24th March 2026
Best Odds 1.25
Confidence 60%
Implied Prob 80%
H
30%
D
20%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — York City to win
1.25
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
80%
Based on 1.25 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-20%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
2
Gateshead
4
Draws
4
York City
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.6
Avg Goals
Against Pick York City won 4 of 10 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Gateshead
Metric
York City
1.4
Goals For / Game
2.8
1.4
Goals Against / Game
0.8
20%
Clean Sheet %
50%
5-3-2
W — D — L
9-0-1
Win Rate Comparison
50%
90%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
Y0
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
G0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 8.6%
0-2 9.0%
0-3 6.3%
0-4 3.3%
0-5 1.4%
G1
1-0 4.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.9%
1-4 3.6%
1-5 1.5%
G2
2-0 2.5%
2-1 5.2%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 2.0%
2-5 0.8%
G3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 1.9%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.3%
G4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
G5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (9.9%) 0-2 (9.0%) 0-1 (8.6%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · G=Home goals ↓   Y=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Gateshead Win
30%
3.33
Draw
20%
5
York City Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Gateshead
Overall
5.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.3
York City
Overall
9.0
Scoring
9.3
Defence
7.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 41%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
05.11.25
NL: York City4
Gateshead0
18.04.25
NL: Gateshead1
York City3
01.01.25
NL: York City1
Gateshead0
01.01.24
NL: York City2
Gateshead0
26.12.23
NL: Gateshead1
York City1
02.01.23
NL: Gateshead2
York City2
26.12.22
NL: York City0
Gateshead3
29.01.22
NLN: York City1
Gateshead1
07.12.21
NLN: Gateshead2
York City0
26.08.19
NLN: York City1
Gateshead1
Recent Form
Gateshead
21.03.26
NL: Boreham Wood3
Gateshead0
L
17.03.26
NL: Gateshead1
Wealdstone0
W
14.03.26
NL: Gateshead1
Sutton United1
D
10.03.26
NL: Southend United1
Gateshead1
D
07.03.26
NL: Solihull Moors1
Gateshead2
W
04.03.26
NL: Gateshead1
Braintree Town0
W
28.02.26
NL: Gateshead0
Forest Green2
L
25.02.26
NL: Gateshead4
Morecambe4
D
21.02.26
NL: Truro City1
Gateshead2
W
17.02.26
NL: FC Halifax Town1
Gateshead2
W
York City
21.03.26
NL: York City4
Brackley Town0
W
14.03.26
NL: Aldershot Town0
York City3
W
07.03.26
NL: York City3
Eastleigh1
W
03.03.26
NL: Boreham Wood3
York City2
L
28.02.26
NL: Morecambe0
York City1
W
24.02.26
NL: Scunthorpe United0
York City3
W
21.02.26
NL: York City4
FC Halifax Town1
W
14.02.26
NL: Wealdstone0
York City3
W
11.02.26
NL: York City3
Hartlepool United2
W
07.02.26
NL: York City2
Forest Green Rovers1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this National League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.25 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Gateshead vs York City?
Our selection is 2 — York City to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Gateshead's current form?
Gateshead have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has York City been performing recently?
York City have recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Gateshead lead with 2 wins versus York City's 4, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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