WON
Result: Al Jeel 1-0 Najran
DirectWinPredict Saudi Division 2 Al Jeel vs Najran
A

Al Jeel

Home Side
W W W W W
6W 1D 3L
VS
1-0
Saudi Division 2
N
Najran
Away Side
W L W D W
6W 2D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1X
Backing Al Jeel to win or draw — Tuesday, 24th March 2026
Best Odds 1.18
Confidence 90%
Implied Prob 84.7%
Head to Head Record
2
Al Jeel
4
Draws
4
Najran
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.6
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Insufficient H2H data.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Al Jeel
Metric
Najran
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.8
20%
Clean Sheet %
40%
6-1-3
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate Comparison
60%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
A0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 12.5%
0-2 7.8%
0-3 3.3%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
A1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 13.2%
1-2 8.2%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
A2
2-0 5.5%
2-1 6.9%
2-2 4.3%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 1.9%
3-1 2.4%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (13.2%) 1-0 (10.5%) 0-0 (10.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   N=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Al Jeel
Overall
6.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.3
Najran
Overall
6.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
7.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 27%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
05.12.25
D2: Najran SC1
Al Jeel2
19.04.22
DIV: Al Jeel0
Najran SC3
08.12.21
DIV: Najran SC2
Al Jeel0
19.04.21
DIV: Najran SC0
Al Jeel0
02.01.21
DIV: Al Jeel1
Najran SC1
16.08.20
DIV: Al Jeel1
Najran SC2
12.11.19
DIV: Najran SC0
Al Jeel2
10.05.19
DIV: Najran SC3
Al Jeel2
25.12.18
DIV: Al Jeel2
Najran SC2
07.04.17
DIV: Najran SC1
Al Jeel1
Recent Form
Al Jeel
14.03.26
D2: Jerash2
Al Jeel3
W
27.02.26
D2: Al-Shoalah1
Al Jeel2
W
21.02.26
D2: Al Jeel2
Al Rawdah1
W
16.02.26
D2: Al Taraji1
Al Jeel2
W
11.02.26
D2: Al-Sadd2
Al Jeel3
W
06.02.26
D2: Al Jeel0
Al Ain0
D
31.01.26
D2: Tuwaiq0
Al Jeel1
W
25.01.26
D2: Al Jeel0
Al-Sahel2
L
20.01.26
D2: Al Jeel0
Al-Washm1
L
15.01.26
D2: Al Entesar1
Al Jeel0
L
Najran
14.03.26
D2: Najran SC2
Al-Sadd1
W
27.02.26
D2: Najran SC0
Al-Sharq1
L
21.02.26
D2: Najran SC1
Al-Shoalah0
W
16.02.26
D2: Tuwaiq2
Najran SC2
D
11.02.26
D2: Jerash0
Najran SC1
W
06.02.26
D2: Najran SC3
Al Rawdah1
W
31.01.26
D2: Al Taraji1
Najran SC1
D
25.01.26
D2: Najran SC2
Afief0
W
20.01.26
D2: Najran SC2
Al Ain0
W
15.01.26
D2: Al-Washm2
Najran SC0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 24th March 2026, Al Jeel host Najran in Saudi Division 2. We recommend Al Jeel to win or draw as the standout selection.

Al Jeel arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Najran are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Jeel, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Najran's 4, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al jeel to win or draw at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Saudi Division 2 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1X, and it looks even better when you see the @1.18 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Jeel vs Najran?
Our selection is 1X — Al Jeel to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Al Jeel's current form?
Al Jeel have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Najran been performing recently?
Najran have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Jeel lead with 2 wins versus Najran's 4, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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