WON

Result: Galatasaray 4-2 Antalyaspor

Galatasaray

Home Side

L W L W D

5W 1D 4L

4-2

Turkey Super Lig

Antalyaspor

Away Side

D L L L W

1W 3D 6L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Galatasaray to win — Saturday, 9th May 2026

Best Odds 1.16

Confidence 60%

Implied Prob 86.2%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Galatasaray to win

1.16

Over 1.5 Goals80%

Implied Prob

86.2%

Based on 1.16 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-26.2%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Galatasaray

Draws

Antalyaspor

Meetings

40%

BTTS Rate

50%

Over 2.5

2.6

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Galatasaray won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Galatasaray

Metric

Antalyaspor

1.5

Goals For / Game

0.8

1.5

Goals Against / Game

1.7

30%

Clean Sheet %

30%

5-1-4

W — D — L

1-3-6

Win Rate Comparison

50%

10%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 6.4%

0-1 7.4%

0-2 4.2%

0-3 1.6%

0-4 0.5%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 10.2%

1-1 11.8%

1-2 6.8%

1-3 2.6%

1-4 0.8%

1-5 0.2%

2-0 8.2%

2-1 9.4%

2-2 5.4%

2-3 2.1%

2-4 0.6%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 4.4%

3-1 5.0%

3-2 2.9%

3-3 1.1%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 1.8%

4-1 2.0%

4-2 1.2%

4-3 0.4%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.6%

5-1 0.6%

5-2 0.4%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.2%) 2-1 (9.4%) 2-0 (8.2%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · G=Home goals ↓ A=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Galatasaray Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Antalyaspor Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Galatasaray

Overall

5.3 ▲

Scoring

5.0 ▲

Defence

5.0 ▲

Antalyaspor

Overall

1.9 ▼

Scoring

2.7 ▼

Defence

4.3 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%

Home Win & BTTS No 38%

Draw & BTTS Yes 10%

Draw & BTTS No 15%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%

Away Win & BTTS No 7%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 35%

Home Win & Under 2.5 28%

Draw & Over 2.5 14%

Draw & Under 2.5 11%

Away Win & Over 2.5 7%

Away Win & Under 2.5 5%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

13.12.25SL

Antalyaspor1

Galatasaray4

14.03.25SL

Galatasaray4

Antalyaspor0

19.10.24SL

Antalyaspor0

Galatasaray3

26.02.24SL

Galatasaray2

Antalyaspor1

07.10.23SL

Antalyaspor0

Galatasaray2

21.01.23SL

Galatasaray2

Antalyaspor1

07.08.22SL

Antalyaspor0

Galatasaray1

20.05.22SL

Antalyaspor1

Galatasaray1

25.12.21SL

Galatasaray2

Antalyaspor0

24.04.21SL

Antalyaspor0

Galatasaray1

Recent Form

Galatasaray

02.05.26SL

Samsunspor4

Galatasaray1

26.04.26SL

Galatasaray3

Fenerbahce0

22.04.26CUP

Galatasaray0

Genclerbirligi2

18.04.26SL

Genclerbirligi1

Galatasaray2

12.04.26SL

Galatasaray1

Kocaelispor1

08.04.26SL

Goztepe1

Galatasaray3

04.04.26SL

Trabzonspor2

Galatasaray1

18.03.26CL

Liverpool4

Galatasaray0

14.03.26SL

Galatasaray3

Basaksehir0

10.03.26CL

Galatasaray1

Liverpool0

Antalyaspor

03.05.26SL

Antalyaspor0

Alanyaspor0

25.04.26SL

Goztepe2

Antalyaspor0

17.04.26SL

Antalyaspor0

Konyaspor2

10.04.26SL

Besiktas4

Antalyaspor2

05.04.26SL

Antalyaspor3

Eyupspor0

18.03.26SL

Basaksehir0

Antalyaspor0

13.03.26SL

Antalyaspor1

Gaziantep4

08.03.26SL

Rizespor1

Antalyaspor0

05.03.26CUP

Antalyaspor0

Samsunspor2

01.03.26SL

Antalyaspor2

Fenerbahce2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Turkey Super Lig game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.16 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor?

Our selection is 1 — Galatasaray to win, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 60%.

What is Galatasaray's current form?

Galatasaray have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.

How has Antalyaspor been performing recently?

Antalyaspor have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Galatasaray lead with 9 wins versus Antalyaspor's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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