WON

Result: Dziugas Telsiai 1-0 Riteriai

Dziugas Telsiai

Home Side

D W L W L

6W 2D 2L

1-0

Lithuania TopLyga

Riteriai

Away Side

L L W L D

1W 3D 6L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Dziugas Telsiai to win — Saturday, 9th May 2026

Best Odds 1.21

Confidence 53%

Implied Prob 82.6%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Dziugas Telsiai to win

1.21

BTTS — No80% Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet70%

Implied Prob

82.6%

Based on 1.21 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-29.6%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Dziugas Telsiai

Draws

Riteriai

Meetings

60%

BTTS Rate

30%

Over 2.5

2.3

Avg Goals

Neutral Data Dziugas Telsiai won 5 of the last 10 meetings (5 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Dziugas Telsiai

Metric

Riteriai

1.4

Goals For / Game

0.3

0.8

Goals Against / Game

2.3

70%

Clean Sheet %

30%

6-2-2

W — D — L

1-3-6

Win Rate Comparison

60%

10%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 9.1%

0-1 5.0%

0-2 1.4%

0-3 0.3%

0-4 0.0%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 16.8%

1-1 9.2%

1-2 2.5%

1-3 0.5%

1-4 0.1%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 15.5%

2-1 8.5%

2-2 2.4%

2-3 0.4%

2-4 0.1%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 9.6%

3-1 5.3%

3-2 1.5%

3-3 0.3%

3-4 0.0%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 4.4%

4-1 2.4%

4-2 0.7%

4-3 0.1%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.6%

5-1 0.9%

5-2 0.3%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (16.8%) 2-0 (15.5%) 3-0 (9.6%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · D=Home goals ↓ R=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Dziugas Telsiai Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Riteriai Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Dziugas Telsiai

Overall

6.6 ▲

Scoring

4.7 ▲

Defence

7.3 ▲

Riteriai

Overall

1.9 ▼

Scoring

1.0 ▼

Defence

2.3 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%

Home Win & BTTS No 50%

Draw & BTTS Yes 5%

Draw & BTTS No 21%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 2%

Away Win & BTTS No 9%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 28%

Home Win & Under 2.5 35%

Draw & Over 2.5 12%

Draw & Under 2.5 14%

Away Win & Over 2.5 5%

Away Win & Under 2.5 6%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

11.03.26TL

Riteriai0

Dziugas Telsiai2

02.11.25TL

Dziugas Telsiai4

Riteriai1

22.08.25TL

Riteriai0

Dziugas Telsiai2

25.06.25TL

Dziugas Telsiai2

Riteriai1

19.04.25TL

Riteriai0

Dziugas Telsiai1

01.02.25CF

Riteriai1

Dziugas Telsiai1

30.09.23TL

Riteriai0

Dziugas Telsiai0

23.07.23TL

Dziugas Telsiai2

Riteriai2

21.05.23TL

Riteriai1

Dziugas Telsiai1

01.04.23TL

Dziugas Telsiai1

Riteriai1

Recent Form

Dziugas Telsiai

05.05.26TL

Kauno Zalgiris2

Dziugas Telsiai2

01.05.26TL

Dziugas Telsiai3

Hegelmann0

26.04.26TL

Dziugas Telsiai0

Zalgiris3

22.04.26CUP

Neptunas0

Dziugas Telsiai2

19.04.26TL

Suduva3

Dziugas Telsiai2

12.04.26TL

Dziugas Telsiai1

FA Siauliai0

05.04.26TL

FK Panevezys0

Dziugas Telsiai1

22.03.26TL

Transinvest0

Dziugas Telsiai0

15.03.26TL

Banga0

Dziugas Telsiai1

11.03.26TL

Riteriai0

Dziugas Telsiai2

Riteriai

05.05.26TL

Riteriai0

Banga4

02.05.26TL

Riteriai0

Transinvest5

28.04.26CUP

Vilnius FA0

Riteriai1

25.04.26TL

Kauno Zalgiris4

Riteriai0

17.04.26TL

Hegelmann0

Riteriai0

10.04.26TL

Riteriai0

Zalgiris0

03.04.26TL

Suduva5

Riteriai0

20.03.26TL

Riteriai1

FA Siauliai1

15.03.26TL

FK Panevezys2

Riteriai1

11.03.26TL

Riteriai0

Dziugas Telsiai2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Lithuania TopLyga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.21 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Dziugas Telsiai vs Riteriai?

Our selection is 1 — Dziugas Telsiai to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 53%.

What is Dziugas Telsiai's current form?

Dziugas Telsiai have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Riteriai been performing recently?

Riteriai have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Dziugas Telsiai lead with 5 wins versus Riteriai's 0, with 5 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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