WON
Result: FC Porto 2-0 Stuttgart
DirectWinPredict UEFA Europa League FC Porto vs Stuttgart
F

FC Porto

Home Side
W W D L W
6W 2D 2L
VS
2-0
UEFA Europa League
S
Stuttgart
Away Side
W L D W L
5W 2D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals — Thursday, 19th March 2026
Best Odds 1.28
Confidence 92%
Implied Prob 78.1%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals70%
Implied Prob
78.1%
Based on 1.28 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+13.9%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
63.4%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
FC Porto
0
Draws
0
Stuttgart
1
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
FC Porto
Metric
Stuttgart
1.7
Goals For / Game
2.2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.2
30%
Clean Sheet %
30%
6-2-2
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate Comparison
60%
50%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
F0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 7.7%
0-2 6.0%
0-3 3.1%
0-4 1.2%
0-5 0.4%
F1
1-0 7.2%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 8.7%
1-3 4.5%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.5%
F2
2-0 5.2%
2-1 8.1%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 3.3%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
F3
3-0 2.5%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
F4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
F5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (11.2%) 1-2 (8.7%) 2-1 (8.1%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
FC Porto
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.0
Stuttgart
Overall
5.6
Scoring
7.3
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
12.03.26
EL: Stuttgart1
FC Porto2
Recent Form
FC Porto
15.03.26
LP: FC Porto3
Moreirense0
W
12.03.26
EL: Stuttgart1
FC Porto2
W
08.03.26
LP: Benfica2
FC Porto2
D
03.03.26
TP: Sporting CP1
FC Porto0
L
27.02.26
LP: FC Porto3
Arouca1
W
22.02.26
LP: FC Porto1
Rio Ave0
W
15.02.26
LP: Nacional0
FC Porto1
W
09.02.26
LP: FC Porto1
Sporting CP1
D
02.02.26
LP: Casa Pia2
FC Porto1
L
29.01.26
EL: FC Porto3
Rangers1
W
Stuttgart
15.03.26
BUN: Stuttgart1
RB Leipzig0
W
12.03.26
EL: Stuttgart1
FC Porto2
L
07.03.26
BUN: Mainz2
Stuttgart2
D
01.03.26
BUN: Stuttgart4
Wolfsburg0
W
26.02.26
EL: Stuttgart0
Celtic1
L
22.02.26
BUN: Heidenheim3
Stuttgart3
D
19.02.26
EL: Celtic1
Stuttgart4
W
14.02.26
BUN: Stuttgart3
FC Koln1
W
07.02.26
BUN: St. Pauli2
Stuttgart1
L
04.02.26
POK: Holstein Kiel0
Stuttgart3
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this UEFA Europa League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer. Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today. It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page. The standout choice for us is Over 1.5, and it looks even better when you see the 1.28 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FC Porto vs Stuttgart?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 92%.
What is FC Porto's current form?
FC Porto have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Stuttgart been performing recently?
Stuttgart have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FC Porto lead with 1 wins versus Stuttgart's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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