WON
Result: England 3-0 Costa Rica
DirectWinPredict International Friendly England vs Costa Rica
E

England

Home Side
W L D W W
7W 1D 2L
VS
3-0
International Friendly
C
Costa Rica
Away Side
L L D D L
1W 5D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing England to win — Wednesday, 10th June 2026
Best Odds 1.17
Confidence 62%
Implied Prob 85.5%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — England to win
1.17
England Clean Sheet70%
Implied Prob
85.5%
Based on 1.17 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-23.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
England
1
Draws
0
Costa Rica
2
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
0%
Over 2.5
1
Avg Goals
Neutral Data England won 1 of the last 2 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
England
Metric
Costa Rica
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.8
70%
Clean Sheet %
22%
7-1-2
W — D — L
1-5-3
Win Rate Comparison
70%
11%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
E0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 4.9%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
E1
1-0 11.6%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 4.2%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
E2
2-0 11.6%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 4.2%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
E3
3-0 7.7%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
E4
4-0 3.9%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
E5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.6%) 2-0 (11.6%) 2-1 (9.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · E=Home goals ↓   C=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
England Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Costa Rica Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
England
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
8.3
Costa Rica
Overall
2.8
Scoring
4.1
Defence
4.1
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 39%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 33%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
07.06.18FI
England2
Costa Rica0
24.06.14WC
Costa Rica0
England0
Recent Form
England
06.06.26FI
England1
New Zealand0
W
31.03.26FI
England0
Japan1
L
27.03.26FI
England1
Uruguay1
D
16.11.25WC
Albania0
England2
W
13.11.25WC
England2
Serbia0
W
14.10.25WC
Latvia0
England5
W
09.10.25FI
England3
Wales0
W
09.09.25WC
Serbia0
England5
W
06.09.25WC
England2
Andorra0
W
10.06.25FI
England1
Senegal3
L
Costa Rica
02.06.26FI
Colombia3
Costa Rica1
L
31.03.26FI
Costa Rica0
Iran5
L
27.03.26FI
Jordan2
Costa Rica2
D
19.11.25WC
Costa Rica0
Honduras0
D
14.11.25WC
Haiti1
Costa Rica0
L
14.10.25WC
Costa Rica4
Nicaragua1
W
10.10.25WC
Honduras0
Costa Rica0
D
10.09.25WC
Costa Rica3
Haiti3
D
06.09.25WC
Nicaragua1
Costa Rica1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 10th June 2026, England host Costa Rica in International Friendly. We recommend England to win as the standout selection.

England arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Costa Rica are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 5D 3L across 9 matches.

Historical meetings favour England, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Costa Rica's 0, with 1 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: england to win at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this International Friendly game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.17 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for England vs Costa Rica?
Our selection is 1 — England to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is England's current form?
England have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Costa Rica been performing recently?
Costa Rica have recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
England lead with 1 wins versus Costa Rica's 0, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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