WON
Result: Marica 0-0 Bonsucesso
DirectWinPredict Brazil Carioca 2 Marica vs Bonsucesso
M

Marica

Home Side
L W W W D
6W 1D 3L
VS
0-0
Brazil Carioca 2
B
Bonsucesso
Away Side
W L L D W
3W 2D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1X
Backing Marica to win or draw — Wednesday, 10th June 2026
Best Odds 1.16
Confidence 90%
Implied Prob 86.2%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Marica to win or draw
1.16
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No65%
Implied Prob
86.2%
Based on 1.16 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+3.8%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
27.5%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Marica
0
Draws
0
Bonsucesso
1
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
0%
Over 2.5
2
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Insufficient H2H data.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Marica
Metric
Bonsucesso
1
Goals For / Game
0.9
1
Goals Against / Game
0.9
50%
Clean Sheet %
30%
6-1-3
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate Comparison
60%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
M0
0-0 15.0%
0-1 14.2%
0-2 6.8%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
M1
1-0 14.2%
1-1 13.5%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
M2
2-0 6.8%
2-1 6.4%
2-2 3.1%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
M3
3-0 2.1%
3-1 2.0%
3-2 1.0%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
M4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-0 (15.0%) 1-0 (14.2%) 1-1 (13.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · M=Home goals ↓   B=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Marica
Overall
6.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.7
Bonsucesso
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
7.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
18.11.20CAR2
Marica2
Bonsucesso0
Recent Form
Marica
07.06.26SD
Velo Clube3
Marica1
L
03.06.26CAR2
CEAC/Araruama0
Marica1
W
30.05.26SD
Marica1
Nova Iguacu0
W
27.05.26CAR2
Marica2
Olaria1
W
23.05.26SD
Sampaio Correa FE1
Marica1
D
20.05.26CAR2
America RJ0
Marica1
W
16.05.26SD
Marica1
Piracicaba2
L
13.05.26CAR2
Marica1
Sao Goncalo0
W
09.05.26SD
Marica0
Noroeste3
L
06.05.26CAR2
Marica1
Cabofriense0
W
Bonsucesso
30.05.26CAR2
Bonsucesso4
Perolas Negras1
W
23.05.26CAR2
Americano2
Bonsucesso0
L
16.05.26CAR2
Bonsucesso0
Audax RJ1
L
09.05.26CAR2
Serrano FC0
Bonsucesso0
D
02.05.26CAR2
Bonsucesso2
CEAC/Araruama1
W
29.04.26CAR2
Cabofriense1
Bonsucesso0
L
06.12.25CAR2
Bonsucesso0
Serrano FC0
D
30.11.25CAR2
Serrano FC2
Bonsucesso1
L
22.11.25CAR2
Bonsucesso2
Duque de Caxias0
W
15.11.25CAR2
Duque de Caxias1
Bonsucesso0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 10th June 2026, Marica host Bonsucesso in Brazil Carioca 2. We recommend Marica to win or draw as the standout selection.

Marica arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Bonsucesso are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Marica, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Bonsucesso's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: marica to win or draw at odds of 1.16 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Brazil Carioca 2 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1X, and it looks even better when you see the @1.16 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Marica vs Bonsucesso?
Our selection is 1X — Marica to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Marica's current form?
Marica have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bonsucesso been performing recently?
Bonsucesso have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Marica lead with 1 wins versus Bonsucesso's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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