PENDING
Result: 1 — Cruzeiro W to win
DirectWinPredict Brasileiro Women Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W
C

Cruzeiro W

Home Side
L L W D W
3W 4D 3L
VS
7:00 pm
Brasileiro Women
B
Botafogo RJ W
Away Side
L L L W L
1W 1D 8L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Cruzeiro W to win — Saturday, 1st August 2026
Best Odds 1.21
Confidence 43%
Implied Prob 82.6%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Cruzeiro W to win
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals90%
Implied Prob
82.6%
Based on 1.21 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-39.6%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Cruzeiro W
1
Draws
0
Botafogo RJ W
2
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.5
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Cruzeiro W won 1 of the last 2 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Cruzeiro W
Metric
Botafogo RJ W
2
Goals For / Game
0.5
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.9
30%
Clean Sheet %
10%
3-4-3
W — D — L
1-1-8
Win Rate Comparison
30%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
C0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 2.3%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 11.3%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 4.6%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 11.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 7.2%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 2.9%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 3.5%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.3%) 2-0 (11.0%) 2-1 (9.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓   B=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Cruzeiro W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Botafogo RJ W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Cruzeiro W
Overall
4.2
Scoring
6.7
Defence
5.7
Botafogo RJ W
Overall
1.3
Scoring
1.7
Defence
3.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 25%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
12.05.24BA1
Cruzeiro W3
Botafogo RJ0
09.05.21BA1
Cruzeiro W1
Botafogo RJ1
Recent Form
Cruzeiro W
25.07.26BA1
Cruzeiro W1
Sao Paulo W2
L
21.07.26COP
Fluminense W2
Cruzeiro W1
L
28.05.26COP
Cruzeiro W5
Doce Mel W0
W
24.05.26BA1
Vitoria W2
Cruzeiro W2
D
19.05.26BA1
Cruzeiro W3
Corinthians W2
W
08.05.26BA1
Cruzeiro W4
America Mineiro W0
W
01.05.26BA1
Juventude W0
Cruzeiro W0
D
26.04.26BA1
Bragantino W2
Cruzeiro W2
D
21.04.26BA1
Cruzeiro W1
Internacional W2
L
31.03.26BA1
Ferroviaria W1
Cruzeiro W1
D
Botafogo RJ W
27.07.26BA1
Bahia W2
Botafogo RJ W1
L
22.07.26COP
Botafogo RJ W0
Bragantino W2
L
17.07.26BA1
Vitoria W2
Botafogo RJ W0
L
27.05.26COP
Botafogo RJ W3
Juventude W0
W
24.05.26BA1
Botafogo RJ W0
America Mineiro W3
L
19.05.26BA1
Palmeiras W3
Botafogo RJ W0
L
11.05.26BA1
Internacional W1
Botafogo RJ W0
L
03.05.26BA1
Botafogo RJ W0
Bragantino W3
L
28.04.26BA1
Atletico-MG W2
Botafogo RJ W0
L
04.04.26BA1
Botafogo RJ W1
Santos W1
D
Cruzeiro W (Home)
25.07.26BA1
Cruzeiro W1
Sao Paulo W2
L
28.05.26COP
Cruzeiro W5
Doce Mel W0
W
19.05.26BA1
Cruzeiro W3
Corinthians W2
W
08.05.26BA1
Cruzeiro W4
America Mineiro W0
W
21.04.26BA1
Cruzeiro W1
Internacional W2
L
26.03.26BA1
Cruzeiro W3
Fluminense W2
W
14.03.26BA1
Cruzeiro W3
Atletico-MG W1
W
23.02.26BA1
Cruzeiro W1
Santos W1
D
22.11.25MIN
Cruzeiro W2
America Mineiro W2
D
08.11.25MIN
Cruzeiro W2
Itabirito W2
D
Botafogo RJ W (Away)
27.07.26BA1
Bahia W2
Botafogo RJ W1
L
17.07.26BA1
Vitoria W2
Botafogo RJ W0
L
19.05.26BA1
Palmeiras W3
Botafogo RJ W0
L
11.05.26BA1
Internacional W1
Botafogo RJ W0
L
28.04.26BA1
Atletico-MG W2
Botafogo RJ W0
L
21.03.26BA1
Mixto W2
Botafogo RJ W1
L
08.03.26CPW
Vasco W2
Botafogo RJ W1
L
21.02.26BA1
Ferroviaria W2
Botafogo RJ W1
L
04.02.26CPW
Fluminense W1
Botafogo RJ W0
L
08.11.25CAR
Fluminense W2
Botafogo RJ W1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 1st August 2026, Cruzeiro W host Botafogo RJ W at Estadio Joaquim Henrique Nogueira (Jacare) (Sete Lagoas) in Brasileiro Women. We recommend Cruzeiro W to win as the standout selection.

Cruzeiro W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Botafogo RJ W are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 1D 8L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cruzeiro W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Botafogo RJ W's 0, with 1 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cruzeiro w to win at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Brasileiro Women preview lives.

The home team strides in on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Estadio Joaquim Henrique Nogueira (Jacare) (Sete Lagoas), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.21, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 7:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W?
Our selection is 1 — Cruzeiro W to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 43%.
What is Cruzeiro W's current form?
Cruzeiro W have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Botafogo RJ W been performing recently?
Botafogo RJ W have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cruzeiro W lead with 1 wins versus Botafogo RJ W's 0, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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