PENDING
Result: 1 — Leevon PPK to win
DirectWinPredict Latvia Nakotnes Liga Leevon PPK vs Rezekne
L

Leevon PPK

Home Side
W W L L L
6W 1D 3L
VS
5:00 pm
Latvia Nakotnes Liga
R
Rezekne
Away Side
L L D L L
1W 2D 7L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Leevon PPK to win — Saturday, 1st August 2026
Best Odds 1.18
Confidence 66%
Implied Prob 84.7%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Leevon PPK to win
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS — Yes80%
Implied Prob
84.7%
Based on 1.18 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-18.7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
Leevon PPK
0
Draws
0
Rezekne
5
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Leevon PPK won 5 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Leevon PPK
Metric
Rezekne
2
Goals For / Game
1
1.8
Goals Against / Game
2.1
10%
Clean Sheet %
0%
6-1-3
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate Comparison
60%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
L0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 4.4%
0-2 3.1%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 6.5%
1-1 9.1%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
L2
2-0 6.7%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
L3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
L4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.3%) 2-0 (6.7%) 1-0 (6.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · L=Home goals ↓   R=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Leevon PPK Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Rezekne Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Leevon PPK
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
4.0
Rezekne
Overall
1.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
3.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 57%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 2%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 57%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 2%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
28.03.26NL
Rezekne0
Leevon PPK2
26.10.25NL
Rezekne1
Leevon PPK2
29.06.25NL
Leevon PPK6
Rezekne2
05.10.24NL
Rezekne0
Leevon PPK7
15.06.24NL
Leevon PPK4
Rezekne1
Recent Form
Leevon PPK
25.07.26NL
Leevon PPK2
Skanste1
W
18.07.26NL
Leevon PPK2
Riga Mariners1
W
10.07.26LC
Leevon PPK2
Riga FC3
L
05.07.26NL
Valmiera4
Leevon PPK1
L
28.06.26NL
Leevon PPK1
Metta3
L
20.06.26LC
JFK Ventspils1
Leevon PPK3
W
13.06.26NL
Alberts JDFS0
Leevon PPK0
D
29.05.26LC
DSVK Traktors3
Leevon PPK5
W
23.05.26NL
Leevon PPK2
JFK Ventspils1
W
16.05.26NL
RFS 21
Leevon PPK2
W
Rezekne
25.07.26NL
Rezekne1
Marupe2
L
19.07.26NL
FK Smiltene1
Rezekne0
L
04.07.26NL
Rezekne1
JFK Ventspils1
D
27.06.26NL
Rezekne2
Alberts JDFS4
L
14.06.26NL
RFS 23
Rezekne0
L
30.05.26LC
Kekava-Auda2
Rezekne1
L
23.05.26NL
Rezekne2
Riga FC 21
W
16.05.26NL
Rezekne1
Tukums 2000 24
L
09.05.26NL
Super Nova 21
Rezekne0
L
02.05.26NL
Rezekne2
Riga Mariners2
D
Leevon PPK (Home)
25.07.26NL
Leevon PPK2
Skanste1
W
18.07.26NL
Leevon PPK2
Riga Mariners1
W
10.07.26LC
Leevon PPK2
Riga FC3
L
28.06.26NL
Leevon PPK1
Metta3
L
23.05.26NL
Leevon PPK2
JFK Ventspils1
W
10.05.26NL
Leevon PPK3
Riga FC 22
W
02.05.26NL
Leevon PPK4
Tukums 2000 21
W
12.04.26NL
Leevon PPK0
Marupe0
D
08.11.25NL
Leevon PPK3
JFK Ventspils2
W
19.10.25NL
Leevon PPK0
Marupe0
D
Rezekne (Away)
19.07.26NL
FK Smiltene1
Rezekne0
L
14.06.26NL
RFS 23
Rezekne0
L
30.05.26LC
Kekava-Auda2
Rezekne1
L
09.05.26NL
Super Nova 21
Rezekne0
L
26.04.26NL
Valmiera3
Rezekne1
L
19.04.26NL
Metta5
Rezekne0
L
22.03.26NL
Marupe4
Rezekne0
L
01.11.25NL
FK Smiltene2
Rezekne2
D
18.10.25NL
Riga Mariners6
Rezekne0
L
27.09.25NL
Augsdaugavas0
Rezekne5
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 1st August 2026, Leevon PPK host Rezekne at N/A in Latvia Nakotnes Liga. We recommend Leevon PPK to win as the standout selection.

Leevon PPK arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Rezekne are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Leevon PPK, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Rezekne's 0, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: leevon ppk to win at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Latvia Nakotnes Liga preview lives.

The home team strides in on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at N/A, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.18, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 5:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Leevon PPK vs Rezekne?
Our selection is 1 — Leevon PPK to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Leevon PPK's current form?
Leevon PPK have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rezekne been performing recently?
Rezekne have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Leevon PPK lead with 5 wins versus Rezekne's 0, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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