WON
Result: Cruzeiro U20 3-0 Fortaleza U20
DirectWinPredict Brasileiro U20 Cruzeiro U20 vs Fortaleza U20
C

Cruzeiro U20

Home Side
W D W W D
6W 3D 1L
VS
3-0
Brasileiro U20
F
Fortaleza U20
Away Side
L L L W W
3W 2D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Cruzeiro U20 to win — Thursday, 11th June 2026
Best Odds 1.42
Confidence 62%
Implied Prob 70.4%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Cruzeiro U20 to win
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals80% Cruzeiro U20 Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
70.4%
Based on 1.42 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-8.4%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
Cruzeiro U20
0
Draws
1
Fortaleza U20
6
Meetings
33%
BTTS Rate
83%
Over 2.5
3.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Cruzeiro U20 won 5 of the last 6 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Cruzeiro U20
Metric
Fortaleza U20
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
60%
Clean Sheet %
20%
6-3-1
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate Comparison
60%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
C0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 7.2%
0-2 4.7%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
C1
1-0 8.8%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 3.2%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
C2
2-0 7.0%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.0%
2-3 2.6%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
C3
3-0 3.8%
3-1 4.9%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
C4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.2%) 1-0 (8.8%) 2-0 (7.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓   F=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Cruzeiro U20 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Fortaleza U20 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Cruzeiro U20
Overall
6.9
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.0
Fortaleza U20
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
12.03.25BRA
Cruzeiro U204
Fortaleza U201
12.09.24BRA
Cruzeiro U203
Fortaleza U200
24.04.24BRA
Cruzeiro U201
Fortaleza U200
26.04.23BRA
Cruzeiro U203
Fortaleza U200
23.07.22BRA
Fortaleza U202
Cruzeiro U201
27.06.21BRA
Cruzeiro U204
Fortaleza U200
Recent Form
Cruzeiro U20
06.06.26MIN
Uberabinha U200
Cruzeiro U201
W
30.05.26MIN
Cruzeiro U200
Villa Real U200
D
26.05.26BRA
Fluminense U200
Cruzeiro U202
W
23.05.26MIN
Cruzeiro U203
Boston City U200
W
20.05.26BRA
Cruzeiro U200
Vitoria U200
D
16.05.26BRA
Botafogo U203
Cruzeiro U201
L
13.05.26BRA
Sao Paulo U202
Cruzeiro U202
D
09.05.26MIN
Inter de Minas U200
Cruzeiro U201
W
06.05.26BRA
Cruzeiro U205
Gremio U202
W
02.05.26MIN
Cruzeiro U203
Atletico-MG U202
W
Fortaleza U20
27.05.26BRA
Fortaleza U201
Palmeiras U202
L
21.05.26BRA
Bahia U203
Fortaleza U202
L
16.05.26BRA
Fortaleza U201
Santos U202
L
13.05.26BRA
Criciuma U201
Fortaleza U202
W
09.05.26CEA
Fortaleza U205
Anjos do Ceu U200
W
05.05.26BRA
RB Bragantino U202
Fortaleza U200
L
30.04.26BRA
Fortaleza U201
Juventude U201
D
26.04.26BRA
Botafogo U202
Fortaleza U201
L
22.04.26BRA
Fortaleza U201
America MG U201
D
18.04.26CEA
Fortaleza U203
Horizonte U200
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 11th June 2026, Cruzeiro U20 host Fortaleza U20 in Brasileiro U20 . We recommend Cruzeiro U20 to win as the standout selection.

Cruzeiro U20 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Fortaleza U20 are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cruzeiro U20, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Fortaleza U20's 1, with 0 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cruzeiro u20 to win at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Brasileiro U20 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.42 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cruzeiro U20 vs Fortaleza U20?
Our selection is 1 — Cruzeiro U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Cruzeiro U20's current form?
Cruzeiro U20 have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Fortaleza U20 been performing recently?
Fortaleza U20 have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cruzeiro U20 lead with 5 wins versus Fortaleza U20's 1, with 0 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
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