PENDING
Result: 1 — Criciuma U20 to win
DirectWinPredict Brazil Catarinense U20 Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20
C

Criciuma U20

Home Side
D W W W W
6W 1D 3L
VS
7:00 pm
Brazil Catarinense U20
C
Concordia U20
Away Side
L W W L W
6W 1D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Criciuma U20 to win — Wednesday, 15th July 2026
Best Odds 1.35
Confidence 45%
Implied Prob 74.1%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Criciuma U20 to win
1.35
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No80%
Implied Prob
74.1%
Based on 1.35 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-29.1%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Criciuma U20
2
Draws
1
Concordia U20
3
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
0%
Over 2.5
0.3
Avg Goals
Against Pick Criciuma U20 won 0 of the last 3 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Criciuma U20
Metric
Concordia U20
1.3
Goals For / Game
0
1.4
Goals Against / Game
0
40%
Clean Sheet %
0%
6-1-3
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate Comparison
60%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
C0
0-0 25.9%
0-1 18.2%
0-2 6.4%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 16.9%
1-1 11.8%
1-2 4.1%
1-3 1.0%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
C2
2-0 5.5%
2-1 3.8%
2-2 1.3%
2-3 0.3%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 1.2%
3-1 0.8%
3-2 0.3%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (16.9%) 2-0 (5.5%) 2-1 (3.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓   C=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Criciuma U20 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Concordia U20 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Criciuma U20
Overall
6.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.3
Concordia U20
Overall
6.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 37%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 32%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
17.04.26CAT
Concordia U201
Criciuma U200
12.07.25CAT
Criciuma U200
Concordia U200
10.05.25CAT
Concordia U200
Criciuma U200
Recent Form
Criciuma U20
11.07.26CAT
Avai U200
Criciuma U200
D
08.07.26CAT
Criciuma U202
Barra FC U201
W
04.07.26CAT
Nacao U200
Criciuma U201
W
01.07.26BRA
Criciuma U203
Gremio U202
W
25.06.26BRA
Vasco U201
Criciuma U202
W
20.06.26BRA
Cuiaba U202
Criciuma U201
L
16.06.26BRA
Criciuma U200
Palmeiras U206
L
13.06.26CAT
Figueirense U200
Criciuma U201
W
10.06.26BRA
Botafogo U202
Criciuma U200
L
05.06.26CAT
Criciuma U203
Joinville U200
W
Concordia U20
11.07.26CAT
Avai U200
Criciuma U200
D
08.07.26CAT
Criciuma U202
Barra FC U201
W
04.07.26CAT
Nacao U200
Criciuma U201
W
01.07.26BRA
Criciuma U203
Gremio U202
W
25.06.26BRA
Vasco U201
Criciuma U202
W
20.06.26BRA
Cuiaba U202
Criciuma U201
L
16.06.26BRA
Criciuma U200
Palmeiras U206
L
13.06.26CAT
Figueirense U200
Criciuma U201
W
10.06.26BRA
Botafogo U202
Criciuma U200
L
05.06.26CAT
Criciuma U203
Joinville U200
W
Criciuma U20 (Home)
08.07.26CAT
Criciuma U202
Barra FC U201
W
01.07.26BRA
Criciuma U203
Gremio U202
W
16.06.26BRA
Criciuma U200
Palmeiras U206
L
05.06.26CAT
Criciuma U203
Joinville U200
W
27.05.26BRA
Criciuma U201
Bahia U201
D
23.05.26CAT
Criciuma U200
Carlos Renaux U200
D
16.05.26BRA
Criciuma U202
Fluminense U200
W
13.05.26BRA
Criciuma U201
Fortaleza U202
L
02.05.26CAT
Criciuma U201
Avai U201
D
25.04.26BRA
Criciuma U204
Avai U206
L
Concordia U20 (Away)
11.07.26CAT
Nacao U202
Concordia U201
L
21.06.26CAT
Carlos Renaux U203
Concordia U202
L
10.06.26CAT
Chapecoense-SC U203
Concordia U201
L
19.05.26CAT
Barra FC U201
Concordia U200
L
16.05.26CAT
Brusque U201
Concordia U201
D
25.04.26CAT
Figueirense U204
Concordia U200
L
07.04.26CAT
Joinville U202
Concordia U202
D
02.08.25CAT
Chapecoense-SC U202
Concordia U200
L
12.07.25CAT
Criciuma U200
Concordia U200
D
21.06.25CAT
Avai U201
Concordia U201
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 15th July 2026, Criciuma U20 host Concordia U20 at N/A in Brazil Catarinense U20. We recommend Criciuma U20 to win as the standout selection.

Criciuma U20 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Concordia U20 are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Criciuma U20, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Concordia U20's 1, with 2 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: criciuma u20 to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Brazil Catarinense U20 preview lives.

The home team strides in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at N/A, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.35, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 7:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20?
Our selection is 1 — Criciuma U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is Criciuma U20's current form?
Criciuma U20 have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Concordia U20 been performing recently?
Concordia U20 have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Criciuma U20 lead with 0 wins versus Concordia U20's 1, with 2 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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