WON
Result:
Cherno More 1-0 Montana
C
Cherno More
Home Side
W
D
L
D
D
1W 3D 1L
VS
1-0
M
Montana
Away Side
L
L
D
L
L
0W 1D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Cherno More to win — Sunday, 15th March 2026
Best Odds
1.40
Confidence
43%
Implied Prob
71.4%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Cherno More to win
1.40
Under 2.5 Goals70%
BTTS — No80%
Cherno More Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
71.4%
Based on 1.40 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-28.4%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
3
Cherno More
1
Draws
1
Montana
5
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
2.8
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Cherno More won 3 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Cherno More
Metric
Montana
1
Goals For / Game
0
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
60%
Clean Sheet %
20%
1-3-1
W — D — L
0-1-4
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
C0
0-0
24.7%
0-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
0-4
0.0%
0-5
0.0%
C1
1-0
27.1%
1-1
8.1%
1-2
1.2%
1-3
0.1%
1-4
0.0%
1-5
0.0%
C2
2-0
14.9%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
2-4
0.0%
2-5
0.0%
C3
3-0
5.5%
3-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
3-3
0.0%
3-4
0.0%
3-5
0.0%
C4
4-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
4-3
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
C5
5-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
1-0 (27.1%)
2-0 (14.9%)
3-0 (5.5%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓ M=Away goals →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Cherno More Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Montana Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
7%
Home Win & BTTS No
26%
Draw & BTTS Yes
13%
Draw & BTTS No
54%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Away Win & BTTS No
0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
10%
Home Win & Under 2.5
23%
Draw & Over 2.5
20%
Draw & Under 2.5
47%
Away Win & Over 2.5
0%
Away Win & Under 2.5
0%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
1L: Montana1
Cherno More3
1L: Montana1
Cherno More1
1L: Cherno More3
Montana0
CUP: Montana2
Cherno More1
1L: Montana0
Cherno More2
Recent Form
Cherno More
1L: Septemvri Sofia0
Cherno More3
1L: Cherno More0
Arda Kardzhali0
1L: Dobrudzha2
Cherno More1
1L: Cherno More0
Botev Vratsa0
1L: Lokomotiv Plovdiv1
Cherno More1
Montana
1L: Montana0
Ludogorets3
1L: Spartak Varna1
Montana0
1L: Montana0
Botev Plovdiv0
1L: Dobrudzha1
Montana0
1L: Septemvri Sofia1
Montana0
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cherno More vs Montana?
Our selection is 1 — Cherno More to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 43%.
What is Cherno More's current form?
Cherno More have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
How has Montana been performing recently?
Montana have recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cherno More lead with 3 wins versus Montana's 1, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.