LOST
Result:
Liverpool 1-1 Tottenham
L
Liverpool
Home Side
L
W
L
W
W
3W 0D 2L
VS
1-1
T
Tottenham
Away Side
L
L
L
L
L
0W 0D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Liverpool to win — Sunday, 15th March 2026
Best Odds
1.30
Confidence
65%
Implied Prob
76.9%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Liverpool to win
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals80%
Over 1.5 Goals80%
BTTS — Yes80%
Implied Prob
76.9%
Based on 1.30 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-11.9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
4
Liverpool
0
Draws
1
Tottenham
5
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
4.6
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Liverpool won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Liverpool
Metric
Tottenham
2
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.2
Goals Against / Game
3.2
20%
Clean Sheet %
0%
3-0-2
W — D — L
0-0-5
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
L0
0-0
2.2%
0-1
2.7%
0-2
1.6%
0-3
0.6%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.1%
L1
1-0
5.8%
1-1
7.0%
1-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
L2
2-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
L3
3-0
6.6%
3-1
7.9%
3-2
4.7%
3-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
L4
4-0
4.3%
4-1
5.1%
4-2
3.1%
4-3
1.2%
4-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
L5
5-0
2.2%
5-1
2.7%
5-2
1.6%
5-3
0.6%
5-4
0.2%
5-5
0.1%
Top Predicted Scores
2-1 (9.1%)
3-1 (7.9%)
2-0 (7.6%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · L=Home goals ↓ T=Away goals →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Liverpool Win
1.67
60%
Draw
5
20%
Tottenham Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
80%
Home Win & BTTS No
20%
Draw & BTTS Yes
0%
Draw & BTTS No
0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Away Win & BTTS No
0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
80%
Home Win & Under 2.5
20%
Draw & Over 2.5
0%
Draw & Under 2.5
0%
Away Win & Over 2.5
0%
Away Win & Under 2.5
0%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
PL: Tottenham1
Liverpool2
PL: Liverpool5
Tottenham1
EFL: Liverpool4
Tottenham0
EFL: Tottenham1
Liverpool0
PL: Tottenham3
Liverpool6
Recent Form
Liverpool
CL: Galatasaray1
Liverpool0
FAC: Wolverhampton Wanderers1
Liverpool3
PL: Wolverhampton Wanderers2
Liverpool1
PL: Liverpool5
West Ham United2
PL: Nottingham Forest0
Liverpool1
Tottenham
CL: Atletico Madrid5
Tottenham2
PL: Tottenham1
Crystal Palace3
PL: Fulham2
Tottenham1
PL: Tottenham1
Arsenal4
PL: Tottenham1
Newcastle United2
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Sunday, 15th March 2026, Liverpool host Tottenham in Premier League. We recommend Liverpool to win as the standout selection.
Liverpool arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Tottenham are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 0D 5L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour Liverpool, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Tottenham's 1, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.
Our verdict: liverpool to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Liverpool vs Tottenham?
Our selection is 1 — Liverpool to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Liverpool's current form?
Liverpool have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
How has Tottenham been performing recently?
Tottenham have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Liverpool lead with 4 wins versus Tottenham's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.