PENDING
Result: Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
DirectWinPredict Russia FNL Round 1 Chelyabinsk vs SKA Khabarovsk
C

Chelyabinsk

Home Side
D D L D L
1W 5D 4L
VS
Russia FNL Round 1
S
SKA Khabarovsk
Away Side
D L W D W
2W 4D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals — Monday, 13th July 2026
Best Odds 1.33
Confidence 88%
Implied Prob 75.2%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.33
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals90%
Implied Prob
75.2%
Based on 1.33 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+12.8%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
51.6%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Chelyabinsk
2
Draws
1
SKA Khabarovsk
4
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
75%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Chelyabinsk
Metric
SKA Khabarovsk
1
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.7
Goals Against / Game
1.7
20%
Clean Sheet %
30%
1-5-4
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate Comparison
10%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
C0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 8.7%
0-2 6.5%
0-3 3.3%
0-4 1.2%
0-5 0.4%
C1
1-0 7.8%
1-1 11.7%
1-2 8.8%
1-3 4.4%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.5%
C2
2-0 5.3%
2-1 7.9%
2-2 5.9%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
C3
3-0 2.4%
3-1 3.6%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
C4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 1.2%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (11.7%) 1-2 (8.8%) 0-1 (8.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Chelyabinsk
Overall
2.5
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.3
SKA Khabarovsk
Overall
3.2
Scoring
4.3
Defence
4.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Home Win & BTTS No 7%
Draw & BTTS Yes 30%
Draw & BTTS No 30%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 8%
Home Win & Under 2.5 5%
Draw & Over 2.5 39%
Draw & Under 2.5 21%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
11.04.26FNL
Chelyabinsk2
SKA Khabarovsk2
14.09.25FNL
SKA Khabarovsk1
Chelyabinsk1
05.02.25CF
SKA Khabarovsk2
Chelyabinsk1
05.02.24CF
SKA Khabarovsk3
Chelyabinsk4
Recent Form
Chelyabinsk
06.07.26CF
Chelyabinsk2
Miass2
D
04.07.26CF
Ural1
Chelyabinsk1
D
20.06.26CF
Ural3
Chelyabinsk0
L
16.05.26FNL
Chelyabinsk2
Shinnik Yaroslavl2
D
08.05.26FNL
Rodina Moscow2
Chelyabinsk0
L
02.05.26FNL
Chelyabinsk2
Neftekhimik0
W
26.04.26FNL
Chelyabinsk1
Ural2
L
22.04.26FNL
Arsenal Tula0
Chelyabinsk0
D
17.04.26FNL
Yenisey3
Chelyabinsk0
L
11.04.26FNL
Chelyabinsk2
SKA Khabarovsk2
D
SKA Khabarovsk
04.07.26CF
SKA Khabarovsk2
Veles Moscow2
D
30.06.26CF
Sochi4
SKA Khabarovsk2
L
16.05.26FNL
SKA Khabarovsk2
Neftekhimik0
W
08.05.26FNL
Fakel Voronezh0
SKA Khabarovsk0
D
03.05.26FNL
SKA Khabarovsk3
Ufa0
W
26.04.26FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl3
SKA Khabarovsk0
L
22.04.26FNL
S. Kostroma3
SKA Khabarovsk0
L
18.04.26FNL
SKA Khabarovsk1
R. Volgograd2
L
11.04.26FNL
Chelyabinsk2
SKA Khabarovsk2
D
05.04.26FNL
SKA Khabarovsk1
Ulyanovsk1
D
Chelyabinsk (Home)
06.07.26CF
Chelyabinsk2
Miass2
D
16.05.26FNL
Chelyabinsk2
Shinnik Yaroslavl2
D
02.05.26FNL
Chelyabinsk2
Neftekhimik0
W
26.04.26FNL
Chelyabinsk1
Ural2
L
11.04.26FNL
Chelyabinsk2
SKA Khabarovsk2
D
03.04.26FNL
Chelyabinsk1
Chernomorets Novorossijsk1
D
23.03.26FNL
Chelyabinsk0
Torpedo Moscow1
L
07.03.26FNL
Chelyabinsk3
S. Kostroma3
D
20.02.26CF
Chelyabinsk1
Rodina Moscow0
W
20.02.26CF
Chelyabinsk2
Zenit 21
W
SKA Khabarovsk (Away)
30.06.26CF
Sochi4
SKA Khabarovsk2
L
08.05.26FNL
Fakel Voronezh0
SKA Khabarovsk0
D
26.04.26FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl3
SKA Khabarovsk0
L
22.04.26FNL
S. Kostroma3
SKA Khabarovsk0
L
11.04.26FNL
Chelyabinsk2
SKA Khabarovsk2
D
30.03.26FNL
Torpedo Moscow4
SKA Khabarovsk1
L
07.03.26FNL
Chernomorets Novorossijsk3
SKA Khabarovsk0
L
01.03.26FNL
FK Chayka1
SKA Khabarovsk3
W
29.11.25FNL
Saratov0
SKA Khabarovsk2
W
23.11.25FNL
Kamaz1
SKA Khabarovsk1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 13th July 2026, Chelyabinsk host SKA Khabarovsk at Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk) in Russia FNL Round 1. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Chelyabinsk arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

SKA Khabarovsk are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Chelyabinsk, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to SKA Khabarovsk's 1, with 2 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.33 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Russia FNL Round 1 preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 1.5, priced at @1.33, which the numbers settle at around 80%. The whistle goes at scheduled kickoff time.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Chelyabinsk vs SKA Khabarovsk?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 88%.
What is Chelyabinsk's current form?
Chelyabinsk have won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has SKA Khabarovsk been performing recently?
SKA Khabarovsk have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Chelyabinsk lead with 1 wins versus SKA Khabarovsk's 1, with 2 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.