WON

Result: Chelsea U21 1-0 Middlesbrough U21

Chelsea U21

Home Side

L W W W W

7W 1D 2L

1-0

Premier League 2

Middlesbrough U21

Away Side

W L W W L

4W 3D 3L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Chelsea U21 to win — Saturday, 25th April 2026

Best Odds 1.46

Confidence 63%

Implied Prob 68.5%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Chelsea U21 to win

1.46

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90%

Implied Prob

68.5%

Based on 1.46 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-5.5%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Chelsea U21

Draws

Middlesbrough U21

Meetings

67%

BTTS Rate

67%

Over 2.5

3.3

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Chelsea U21 won 7 of the last 9 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Chelsea U21

Metric

Middlesbrough U21

Goals For / Game

1.9

1.1

Goals Against / Game

1.4

40%

Clean Sheet %

20%

7-1-2

W — D — L

4-3-3

Win Rate Comparison

70%

40%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 2.5%

0-1 3.7%

0-2 2.8%

0-3 1.4%

0-4 0.5%

0-5 0.2%

1-0 5.4%

1-1 8.2%

1-2 6.1%

1-3 3.1%

1-4 1.2%

1-5 0.3%

2-0 6.0%

2-1 9.0%

2-2 6.7%

2-3 3.4%

2-4 1.3%

2-5 0.4%

3-0 4.4%

3-1 6.6%

3-2 4.9%

3-3 2.5%

3-4 0.9%

3-5 0.3%

4-0 2.4%

4-1 3.6%

4-2 2.7%

4-3 1.4%

4-4 0.5%

4-5 0.2%

5-0 1.1%

5-1 1.6%

5-2 1.2%

5-3 0.6%

5-4 0.2%

5-5 0.1%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.0%) 3-1 (6.6%) 2-0 (6.0%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓ M=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Chelsea U21 Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Middlesbrough U21 Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Chelsea U21

Overall

7.3 ▼

Scoring

10.0 ▼

Defence

6.3 ▼

Middlesbrough U21

Overall

4.9 ▼

Scoring

6.3 ▼

Defence

5.3 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%

Home Win & BTTS No 19%

Draw & BTTS Yes 10%

Draw & BTTS No 5%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%

Away Win & BTTS No 11%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 38%

Home Win & Under 2.5 16%

Draw & Over 2.5 11%

Draw & Under 2.5 5%

Away Win & Over 2.5 22%

Away Win & Under 2.5 9%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

01.09.24PL2

Middlesbrough U211

Chelsea U213

23.02.24PL2

Middlesbrough U211

Chelsea U213

25.04.16PL

Middlesbrough U211

Chelsea U213

21.12.15PL

Chelsea U211

Middlesbrough U210

08.03.14PL

Chelsea U211

Middlesbrough U210

19.03.13PL

Middlesbrough U212

Chelsea U210

25.01.13PL

Chelsea U213

Middlesbrough U212

03.12.12PL

Middlesbrough U212

Chelsea U213

28.09.12PL

Chelsea U211

Middlesbrough U213

Recent Form

Chelsea U21

10.04.26PL2

Fulham U212

Chelsea U211

20.03.26PL2

Wolves U210

Chelsea U214

14.03.26PL2

Chelsea U214

Sunderland U210

09.03.26PL2

Birmingham U211

Chelsea U214

02.03.26PL2

Manchester Utd U210

Chelsea U212

20.02.26PL2

Chelsea U212

Leeds U212

07.02.26PL2

Chelsea U215

Blackburn U210

30.01.26PL2

Chelsea U214

Southampton U212

26.01.26PL2

Leicester U211

Chelsea U212

21.01.26PLIC

Chelsea U212

Real Sociedad B3

Middlesbrough U21

10.04.26PL2

Aston Villa U210

Middlesbrough U212

20.03.26PL2

Derby U211

Middlesbrough U210

13.03.26PL2

Middlesbrough U216

Stoke City U211

06.03.26PL2

Tottenham U211

Middlesbrough U213

02.03.26PL2

Middlesbrough U211

Birmingham U214

20.02.26PL2

Southampton U212

Middlesbrough U211

16.02.26PL2

Middlesbrough U211

Nottingham U210

09.02.26PL2

Crystal Palace U211

Middlesbrough U211

02.02.26PL2

Middlesbrough U213

West Ham U213

23.01.26PL2

Fulham U211

Middlesbrough U211

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Premier League 2 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.46 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Chelsea U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Our selection is 1 — Chelsea U21 to win, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 63%.

What is Chelsea U21's current form?

Chelsea U21 have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Middlesbrough U21 been performing recently?

Middlesbrough U21 have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Chelsea U21 lead with 7 wins versus Middlesbrough U21's 2, with 0 draws across 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.

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