WON
Result: Celtic 3-1 Falkirk
DirectWinPredict โ€บ Scotland Premiershipโ€บ Celtic vs Falkirk
C

Celtic

Home Side
W W W L W
5W 3D 2L
VS
3-1
Scotland Premiership
F
Falkirk
Away Side
L L W L D
4W 2D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Celtic to win โ€” Saturday, 25th April 2026
Best Odds 1.43
Confidence 58%
Implied Prob 69.9%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
โš” Head to Head Record
8
Celtic
2
Draws
0
Falkirk
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
3.6
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Celtic won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
๐Ÿ“Š Key Stats Duel Comparison
Celtic
Metric
Falkirk
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.7
30%
Clean Sheet %
20%
5-3-2
W โ€” D โ€” L
4-2-4
Win Rate Comparison
50%
40%
๐ŸŽฏ Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
C0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 7.2%
0-2 5.2%
0-3 2.5%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
C1
1-0 7.7%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 3.9%
1-4 1.4%
1-5 0.4%
C2
2-0 6.0%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
C3
3-0 3.1%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
C4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.7%) 1-0 (7.7%) 2-0 (6.0%)
โ–  Most likely (tip) โ–  Possible (tip) โ–  Low (tip)  ยท  โ–  Contradicts tip Poisson model ยท C=Home goals โ†“   F=Away goals โ†’
๐Ÿ“‰ Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Celtic Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Falkirk Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
๐Ÿ“ˆ Team Ratings Grades
Celtic
Overall
5.9 โ–ผ
Scoring
4.7 โ–ผ
Defence
6.3 โ–ผ
Falkirk
Overall
4.6 โ–ฒ
Scoring
6.0 โ–ฒ
Defence
4.3 โ–ฒ
๐Ÿ”€ Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
๐Ÿงฎ Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake Amount
โ€”
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
๐Ÿ“œ Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
01.02.26PRE
Celtic2
Falkirk0
14.01.26PRE
Falkirk0
Celtic1
29.10.25PRE
Celtic4
Falkirk0
15.08.25LC
Celtic4
Falkirk1
22.09.24LC
Celtic5
Falkirk2
03.04.21SC
Celtic3
Falkirk0
29.01.12LC
Falkirk1
Celtic3
07.03.10PRE
Falkirk0
Celtic2
16.01.10PRE
Celtic1
Falkirk1
08.11.09PRE
Falkirk3
Celtic3
Recent Form
Celtic
19.04.26SC
Celtic2
St. Mirren2
W
11.04.26PRE
Celtic1
St. Mirren0
W
05.04.26PRE
Dundee FC1
Celtic2
W
22.03.26PRE
Dundee Utd2
Celtic0
L
14.03.26PRE
Celtic3
Motherwell1
W
08.03.26SC
Rangers0
Celtic0
W
04.03.26PRE
Aberdeen1
Celtic2
W
01.03.26PRE
Rangers2
Celtic2
D
26.02.26EL
Stuttgart0
Celtic1
W
22.02.26PRE
Celtic1
Hibernian2
L
Falkirk
18.04.26SC
Dunfermline0
Falkirk0
L
12.04.26PRE
Falkirk3
Rangers6
L
04.04.26PRE
Motherwell2
Falkirk3
W
21.03.26PRE
Falkirk1
St. Mirren2
L
14.03.26PRE
Aberdeen1
Falkirk1
D
06.03.26SC
Falkirk2
Dundee Utd1
W
28.02.26PRE
Falkirk5
Kilmarnock1
W
21.02.26PRE
Hearts1
Falkirk0
L
14.02.26PRE
Falkirk2
Dundee Utd3
L
11.02.26PRE
Falkirk1
Dundee FC0
W
๐Ÿ“ Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Scotland Premiership game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.43 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

โ“ Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Celtic vs Falkirk?
Our selection is 1 โ€” Celtic to win, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Celtic's current form?
Celtic have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Falkirk been performing recently?
Falkirk have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Celtic lead with 8 wins versus Falkirk's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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