WON

Result: BKMA 2-3 Ararat Armenia

BKMA

Home Side

L D W D D

1W 4D 5L

2-3

Armenia Premier League

Ararat Armenia

Away Side

L W W D W

5W 2D 3L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Ararat Armenia to win — Sunday, 17th May 2026

Best Odds 1.32

Confidence 58%

Implied Prob 75.8%

30%

20%

50%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

2 — Ararat Armenia to win

1.32

Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No70% Ararat Armenia Clean Sheet60%

Implied Prob

75.8%

Based on 1.32 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-17.8%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

BKMA

Draws

Ararat Armenia

Meetings

70%

BTTS Rate

70%

Over 2.5

3.9

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Ararat Armenia won 8 of 10 meetings.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

BKMA

Metric

Ararat Armenia

0.7

Goals For / Game

1.2

1.6

Goals Against / Game

10%

Clean Sheet %

60%

1-4-5

W — D — L

5-2-3

Win Rate Comparison

10%

50%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 10.5%

0-1 14.8%

0-2 10.3%

0-3 4.8%

0-4 1.7%

0-5 0.5%

1-0 9.0%

1-1 12.5%

1-2 8.8%

1-3 4.1%

1-4 1.4%

1-5 0.4%

2-0 3.8%

2-1 5.3%

2-2 3.7%

2-3 1.7%

2-4 0.6%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 1.1%

3-1 1.5%

3-2 1.1%

3-3 0.5%

3-4 0.2%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 0.2%

4-1 0.3%

4-2 0.2%

4-3 0.1%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.0%

5-1 0.1%

5-2 0.0%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (14.8%) 0-2 (10.3%) 1-2 (8.8%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓ A=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

BKMA Win

30%

3.33

Draw

20%

Ararat Armenia Win

50%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

BKMA

Overall

2.2 ▼

Scoring

2.3 ▼

Defence

4.7 ▼

Ararat Armenia

Overall

5.6 —

Scoring

4.0 —

Defence

6.7 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 3%

Home Win & BTTS No 8%

Draw & BTTS Yes 10%

Draw & BTTS No 23%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%

Away Win & BTTS No 39%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 3%

Home Win & Under 2.5 8%

Draw & Over 2.5 10%

Draw & Under 2.5 23%

Away Win & Over 2.5 17%

Away Win & Under 2.5 39%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

25.10.25PL

Ararat-Armenia2

BKMA1

29.09.25PL

BKMA2

Ararat-Armenia2

18.05.25PL

Ararat-Armenia4

BKMA0

02.11.24PL

BKMA2

Ararat-Armenia4

29.09.24PL

Ararat-Armenia2

BKMA0

07.05.24PL

Ararat-Armenia4

BKMA1

07.03.24PL

BKMA0

Ararat-Armenia1

02.11.23PL

Ararat-Armenia4

BKMA1

01.09.23PL

BKMA1

Ararat-Armenia1

05.06.23PL

BKMA2

Ararat-Armenia5

Recent Form

BKMA

09.05.26PL

Pyunik Yerevan2

BKMA0

02.05.26PL

BKMA2

Alashkert2

23.04.26PL

Van1

BKMA2

19.04.26PL

BKMA1

FC Gandzasar1

16.04.26PL

Shirak Gyumri1

BKMA1

12.04.26PL

BKMA0

Shirak Gyumri0

05.04.26PL

Noah2

BKMA0

20.03.26PL

BKMA0

Urartu1

15.03.26PL

Urartu4

BKMA1

08.03.26PL

BKMA0

Noah2

Ararat Armenia

10.05.26PL

Ararat-Armenia0

Noah4

06.05.26PL

Ararat-Armenia1

Pyunik Yerevan0

03.05.26PL

Urartu0

Ararat-Armenia2

29.04.26CUP

Noah0

Ararat-Armenia0

25.04.26PL

Ararat-Armenia4

Ararat Yerevan0

20.04.26PL

Shirak Gyumri0

Ararat-Armenia4

16.04.26CUP

Ararat-Armenia0

Noah1

11.04.26PL

Pyunik Yerevan0

Ararat-Armenia2

06.04.26PL

Ararat-Armenia1

Alashkert1

02.04.26CUP

Shirak Gyumri0

Ararat-Armenia2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Armenia Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.32 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for BKMA vs Ararat Armenia?

Our selection is 2 — Ararat Armenia to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 58%.

What is BKMA's current form?

BKMA have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.

How has Ararat Armenia been performing recently?

Ararat Armenia have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

BKMA lead with 0 wins versus Ararat Armenia's 8, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.

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