WON
Result: BFC Daugavpils 0-1 RFS
DirectWinPredict Latvia Virsliga BFC Daugavpils vs RFS
B

BFC Daugavpils

Home Side
L D L D W
4W 2D 4L
VS
0-1
Latvia Virsliga
R
RFS
Away Side
W W D W W
8W 1D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing RFS to win — Wednesday, 13th May 2026
Best Odds 1.34
Confidence 68%
Implied Prob 74.6%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Head to Head Record
0
BFC Daugavpils
0
Draws
10
RFS
10
Meetings
70%
BTTS Rate
90%
Over 2.5
4.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick RFS won 10 of 10 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
BFC Daugavpils
Metric
RFS
1.4
Goals For / Game
2.3
1.7
Goals Against / Game
0.9
20%
Clean Sheet %
50%
4-2-4
W — D — L
8-1-1
Win Rate Comparison
40%
80%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
B0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 8.6%
0-2 8.6%
0-3 5.7%
0-4 2.9%
0-5 1.1%
B1
1-0 4.9%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.6%
1-4 3.3%
1-5 1.3%
B2
2-0 2.8%
2-1 5.7%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 1.9%
2-5 0.8%
B3
3-0 1.1%
3-1 2.2%
3-2 2.2%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.3%
B4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
B5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (9.9%) 0-1 (8.6%) 0-2 (8.6%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓   R=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
BFC Daugavpils Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
RFS Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
BFC Daugavpils
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.3
RFS
Overall
8.3
Scoring
7.7
Defence
7.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 27%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 15%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 30%
Away Win & Under 2.5 30%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
21.03.26VIR
RFS4
BFC Daugavpils1
28.02.26CF
RFS1
BFC Daugavpils0
21.09.25VIR
RFS5
BFC Daugavpils1
30.06.25VIR
BFC Daugavpils1
RFS7
09.05.25VIR
RFS5
BFC Daugavpils1
15.03.25VIR
BFC Daugavpils1
RFS2
06.10.24VIR
BFC Daugavpils0
RFS3
17.09.24VIR
RFS4
BFC Daugavpils1
13.07.24LC
RFS2
BFC Daugavpils1
20.05.24VIR
RFS5
BFC Daugavpils0
Recent Form
BFC Daugavpils
08.05.26VIR
BFC Daugavpils1
Riga FC3
L
02.05.26VIR
Grobina1
BFC Daugavpils1
D
27.04.26VIR
BFC Daugavpils0
Super Nova1
L
21.04.26VIR
Tukums 20001
BFC Daugavpils1
D
16.04.26VIR
BFC Daugavpils1
Jelgava0
W
12.04.26VIR
Auda2
BFC Daugavpils3
W
07.04.26VIR
BFC Daugavpils2
Ogre United1
W
03.04.26VIR
BFC Daugavpils2
FK Liepaja0
W
21.03.26VIR
RFS4
BFC Daugavpils1
L
14.03.26VIR
Riga FC4
BFC Daugavpils2
L
RFS
08.05.26VIR
RFS5
FK Liepaja0
W
02.05.26VIR
Ogre United3
RFS4
W
28.04.26VIR
RFS3
Riga FC3
D
22.04.26VIR
Grobina0
RFS1
W
18.04.26VIR
RFS2
Super Nova0
W
13.04.26VIR
Tukums 20001
RFS2
W
08.04.26VIR
Jelgava0
RFS1
W
04.04.26VIR
RFS0
Auda1
L
21.03.26VIR
RFS4
BFC Daugavpils1
W
13.03.26VIR
FK Liepaja0
RFS1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Latvia Virsliga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.34 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for BFC Daugavpils vs RFS?
Our selection is 2 — RFS to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is BFC Daugavpils's current form?
BFC Daugavpils have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has RFS been performing recently?
RFS have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
BFC Daugavpils lead with 0 wins versus RFS's 10, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.