WON
Result: Beroe 0-1 Levski Sofia
DirectWinPredict Bulgaria EFBET League Beroe vs Levski Sofia
B

Beroe

Home Side
L L D D L
1W 2D 2L
VS
0-1
Bulgaria EFBET League
L
Levski Sofia
Away Side
W L W W W
3W 0D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Levski Sofia to win — Sunday, 15th March 2026
Best Odds 1.31
Confidence 61%
Implied Prob 76.3%
H
30%
D
20%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Levski Sofia to win
1.31
BTTS — No70%
Implied Prob
76.3%
Based on 1.31 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-15.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Beroe
0
Draws
4
Levski Sofia
5
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.6
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Levski Sofia won 4 of 5 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Beroe
Metric
Levski Sofia
0.4
Goals For / Game
2
1
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheet %
40%
1-2-2
W — D — L
3-0-2
Win Rate Comparison
20%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
B0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 15.0%
0-2 11.3%
0-3 5.6%
0-4 2.1%
0-5 0.6%
B1
1-0 8.0%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 9.0%
1-3 4.5%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.5%
B2
2-0 3.2%
2-1 4.8%
2-2 3.6%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
B3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 1.3%
3-2 1.0%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (15.0%) 0-2 (11.3%) 1-2 (9.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓   L=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Beroe Win
30%
3.33
Draw
20%
5
Levski Sofia Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Beroe
Overall
3.2
Scoring
1.3
Defence
6.7
Levski Sofia
Overall
6.0
Scoring
6.7
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 42%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 10%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 30%
Away Win & Under 2.5 30%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
04.10.25
1L: Levski Sofia3
Beroe1
03.07.25
CF: Levski Sofia3
Beroe2
06.04.25
1L: Beroe0
Levski Sofia1
25.10.24
1L: Levski Sofia0
Beroe2
20.04.24
1L: Levski Sofia1
Beroe0
Recent Form
Beroe
08.03.26
1L: Dobrudzha Dobrich1
Beroe0
03.03.26
1L: Beroe0
Slavia Sofia3
28.02.26
1L: Botev Vratsa0
Beroe0
22.02.26
1L: Beroe0
Arda Kardzhali0
15.02.26
1L: Beroe2
Ludogorets1
Levski Sofia
09.03.26
1L: Levski Sofia1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv0
05.03.26
1L: Ludogorets1
Levski Sofia0
01.03.26
1L: Levski Sofia4
Lokomotiv Sofia3
22.02.26
1L: CSKA 1948 Sofia1
Levski Sofia3
15.02.26
1L: Levski Sofia3
Botev Plovdiv0
Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Beroe vs Levski Sofia?
Our selection is 2 — Levski Sofia to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Beroe's current form?
Beroe have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
How has Levski Sofia been performing recently?
Levski Sofia have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Beroe lead with 1 wins versus Levski Sofia's 4, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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