WON
Result:
Barcelona 3-0 Atletico Madrid
B
Barcelona
Home Side
W
W
L
L
W
0W 0D 1L
VS
3-0
A
Atletico Madrid
Away Side
W
W
W
D
L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Barcelona to win — Tuesday, 3rd March 2026
Best Odds
1.50
Confidence
32%
Implied Prob
66.7%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Barcelona to win
1.50
Over 2.5 Goals100%
Over 1.5 Goals100%
Implied Prob
66.7%
Based on 1.50 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-34.7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
1
Barcelona
4
Draws
0
Atletico Madrid
5
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
4.6
Avg Goals
Against Pick
Barcelona won 1 of the last 5 meetings (4 draws).
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Barcelona Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Atletico Madrid Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
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Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
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Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
: ATM4
BAR - CUP0
: BAR3
ATM1
: ATM0
BAR - CUP1
: ATM2
BAR4
: BAR4
ATM - CUP4
Recent Form
Barcelona
: BAR4
VIL1
: BAR3
LEV0
: GIR2
BAR1
: ATM4
BAR - CUP0
: BAR3
MAL0
Atletico Madrid
: OVI0
ATM1
: ATM4
BRU - CL1
: ATM4
ESP2
: BRU3
ATM - CL3
: RAY3
ATM0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 3rd March 2026, Barcelona host Atletico Madrid in Copa Del Rey. We recommend Barcelona to win as the standout selection.
Barcelona arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 1 outings.
Historical meetings favour Barcelona, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Atletico Madrid's 0, with 4 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.
Our verdict: barcelona to win at odds of 1.50 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid?
Our selection is 1 — Barcelona to win, priced at approximately 1.50. Tip confidence rating: 32%.
What is Barcelona's current form?
Barcelona have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 matches.
How has Atletico Madrid been performing recently?
Form guide: W/W/W/D/L
What does the head-to-head record show?
Barcelona lead with 1 wins versus Atletico Madrid's 0, with 4 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.