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Result: Al Ahli SC 1-0 Al Duhail
DirectWinPredict AFC Champions League Al Ahli SC vs Al Duhail
A

Al Ahli SC

Home Side
D W L L W
6W 1D 3L
VS
1-0
AFC Champions League
A
Al Duhail
Away Side
L W W W L
4W 2D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Al Ahli SC to win — Monday, 13th April 2026
Best Odds 1.41
Confidence 45%
Implied Prob 70.9%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Ahli SC to win
1.41
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes75%
Implied Prob
70.9%
Based on 1.41 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-25.9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Al Ahli SC
3
Draws
1
Al Duhail
5
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.4
Avg Goals
Against Pick Al Ahli SC won 1 of the last 5 meetings (3 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Al Ahli SC
Metric
Al Duhail
2.4
Goals For / Game
1.9
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.5
30%
Clean Sheet %
20%
6-1-3
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate Comparison
60%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 2.7%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.3%
A1
1-0 5.3%
1-1 8.8%
1-2 7.3%
1-3 4.0%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.5%
A2
2-0 5.2%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 7.1%
2-3 3.9%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.5%
A3
3-0 3.4%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 4.6%
3-3 2.5%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.3%
A4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.7%
4-2 2.2%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
A5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.6%) 3-1 (5.6%) 1-0 (5.3%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Al Ahli SC Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Duhail Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Al Ahli SC
Overall
6.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
5.3
Al Duhail
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 39%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
29.09.25
ACL Elite (Group): Al-Duhail2
Al-Ahli Saudi FC2
30.04.21
Champions League: Al-Duhail1
Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
18.04.21
Champions League: Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
Al-Duhail1
01.05.12
Champions League: Al-Ahli Saudi FC3
Al-Duhail0
07.03.12
Champions League: Al-Duhail1
Al-Ahli Saudi FC0
Recent Form
Al Ahli SC
08.04.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Fayha1
Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
D
04.04.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Ahli Saudi FC3
Damac FC0
W
18.03.26
King’s Cup (SF): Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
Al-Hilal2
L
13.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Qadsiah3
Al-Ahli Saudi FC2
L
06.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Ahli Saudi FC3
Al-Ittihad1
W
26.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Riyadh0
Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
W
23.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Damac FC0
Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
W
19.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Ahli Saudi FC4
Al-Najma1
W
16.02.26
ACL Elite: Al-Ahli Saudi FC4
Shabab Al-Ahli3
W
13.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Shabab2
Al-Ahli Saudi FC5
W
Al Duhail
08.04.26
Qatari Stars League: Al Ahli Doha2
Al-Duhail1
L
04.04.26
Qatari Stars League: Al-Duhail3
Al-Gharafa2
W
17.03.26
Qatari Stars League: Al-Shamal1
Al-Duhail3
W
12.03.26
Qatari Stars League: Al-Sailiya0
Al-Duhail4
W
26.02.26
Qatari Stars League: Al-Duhail1
Al-Sadd3
L
21.02.26
Qatari Stars League: Al-Duhail1
Al-Arabi1
D
16.02.26
ACL Elite: Al Shorta3
Al-Duhail2
L
12.02.26
Emir Cup: Al-Duhail2
Al-Waab0
W
09.02.26
ACL Elite: Al-Duhail1
Al-Sharjah1
D
04.02.26
Qatari Stars League: Umm-Salal2
Al-Duhail1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this AFC Champions League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.41 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Ahli SC vs Al Duhail?
Our selection is 1 — Al Ahli SC to win, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is Al Ahli SC's current form?
Al Ahli SC have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Duhail been performing recently?
Al Duhail have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Ahli SC lead with 1 wins versus Al Duhail's 1, with 3 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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